UEFA Europa Conference League

Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen

Full time · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Sheriff Tiraspol 20.0% Draw 29.3% FC ST. Gallen 50.7%

Over 2.5 - 42% BTTS - 47%

✓ Pick was correct (1:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

Sheriff Tiraspol

L L W D

Form 1-1-2 Goals 1:6 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 1.5

FC ST. Gallen

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sheriff Tiraspol win20.0%

Draw29.3%

FC ST. Gallen win50.7%

Over 1.5 goals69.9%

Over 2.5 goals42.0%

Over 3.5 goals21.3%

Both teams to score46.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

90.9%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)78.4%

Home or Away (12)73.8%

Draw No Bet - Away70.7%

Away Win52.2%

Home or Draw (1X)47.8%

Both Halves Over 0.547.6%

Goal in Both Halves47.6%

Draw No Bet - Home29.3%

Draw26.2%

Exactly 1 Goal22.3%

Home Win21.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.7%

Under 4.5 Goals90.9%

Over 0.5 Goals90.6%

Under 3.5 Goals78.7%

1-3 Goals69.2%

Over 1.5 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 2.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.5%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 1.5 Goals31.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.3%

Over 3.5 Goals21.3%

4+ Goals21.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.4%

Exactly 0 Goals9.4%

Over 4.5 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score77.7%

Home Team to Score57.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.9%

Away Clean Sheet42.2%

Away Win to Nil32.8%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil12.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.577.7%

Home Over 0.557.8%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Home Exactly 042.2%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Home Over 1.521.4%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.5%

Away to win by 125.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.0%

Away to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.8%

Away to win by 3+10.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.3%

Home to win by 25.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.8%

Away & No BTTS32.8%

BTTS & Over 2.532.7%

Away & Over 2.527.5%

Away & Under 2.524.7%

Draw & Under 2.521.6%

Away & BTTS19.4%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Home & No BTTS12.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Under 2.511.6%

Home & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Home & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.3%

HT Over 0.565.5%

HT Draw44.2%

2nd Half More Goals41.9%

HT Away Win37.3%

HT Under 0.534.5%

HT/FT Away/Away31.7%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.7%

Equal Goals Each Half27.7%

HT Home Win18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.3%

HT Both Teams Score15.8%

HT/FT Home/Home11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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