UEFA Europa Conference League

Shkendija vs Hibernian

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Shkendija 68.4% Draw 15.5% Hibernian 16.1%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.70 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Shkendija

L W L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 11:5 Scored/game 2.2 Conceded/game 1

Hibernian

W W L W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Shkendija 0wins ·0 draws ·Hibernian 1wins

Shkendija 1-2 HibernianAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Shkendija win68.4%

Draw15.5%

Hibernian win16.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.5%

Over 3.5 goals73.4%

Both teams to score79.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Both Halves Over 0.583.8%

Goal in Both Halves83.8%

Home or Draw (1X)82.8%

Draw No Bet - Home80.6%

Home Win68.4%

Draw or Away (X2)30.9%

Draw No Bet - Away19.4%

Away Win16.5%

Draw14.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals86.9%

Over 3.5 Goals72.8%

4+ Goals72.8%

Under 5.5 Goals62.2%

Over 4.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals44.7%

2-4 Goals39.9%

Over 5.5 Goals37.8%

3-4 Goals31.5%

Under 3.5 Goals27.2%

1-3 Goals25.8%

2-3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.0%

Under 2.5 Goals13.1%

1-2 Goals11.8%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score81.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.0%

Home Clean Sheet18.3%

Home Win to Nil17.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.6%

Away Over 0.581.0%

Home Over 2.563.6%

Home 3+ Goals63.6%

Away Over 1.550.0%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Away Over 2.523.8%

Away 3+ Goals23.8%

Home Exactly 220.0%

Away Exactly 018.3%

Home Exactly 112.1%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.8%

Home to win by 3+32.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.2%

Home & Over 2.562.5%

Home & BTTS50.7%

Home & No BTTS17.6%

Away & Over 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Away & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.55.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.5%

HT Over 1.565.8%

HT Home Win54.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT/FT Home/Home48.4%

HT Both Teams Score41.3%

HT Under 1.534.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.3%

HT Away Win19.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT Under 0.510.5%

HT/FT Away/Away9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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