Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

SK Beveren vs Lommel United

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

SK Beveren 29.8% Draw 33.4% Lommel United 36.8%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

SK Beveren

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Lommel United

L D D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

SK Beveren win29.8%

Draw33.4%

Lommel United win36.8%

Over 1.5 goals60.7%

Over 2.5 goals61.1%

Over 3.5 goals14.3%

Both teams to score64.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.5%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.4%

Draw or Away (X2)64.4%

Both Halves Over 0.562.5%

Goal in Both Halves62.5%

Home or Draw (1X)59.2%

Draw No Bet - Away53.4%

Draw No Bet - Home46.6%

Away Win40.8%

Home Win35.6%

Draw23.6%

Exactly 1 Goal13.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals82.3%

Under 4.5 Goals78.8%

Under 3.5 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals61.1%

2-4 Goals61.1%

1-3 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals38.9%

Over 3.5 Goals38.8%

4+ Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals34.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Under 1.5 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.6%

Home Team to Score78.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.1%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Home Clean Sheet19.4%

Away Win to Nil17.7%

Home Win to Nil15.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.6%

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 1.548.8%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 131.8%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Over 2.522.7%

Away 3+ Goals22.7%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Away Exactly 019.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.5%

Away to win by 3+8.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.3%

Away & Over 2.528.1%

Home & Over 2.524.2%

Away & BTTS23.2%

Home & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.7%

Home & No BTTS15.1%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

Home & Under 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.9%

HT Under 1.558.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.5%

HT Draw37.9%

HT Away Win32.7%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win29.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.8%

HT/FT Away/Away24.7%

HT Under 0.524.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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