UEFA Europa League

Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Sparta Praha 20.9% Draw 15.5% Bournemouth 63.6%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Sparta Praha

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Bournemouth

W W W L L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sparta Praha win20.9%

Draw15.5%

Bournemouth win63.6%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.2%

Over 3.5 goals81.7%

Both teams to score86.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.2%

Goal in Both Halves88.2%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Draw or Away (X2)77.9%

Draw No Bet - Away75.1%

Away Win63.3%

Home or Draw (1X)35.6%

Draw No Bet - Home24.9%

Home Win21.0%

Draw14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals91.2%

Over 3.5 Goals80.8%

4+ Goals80.8%

Over 4.5 Goals66.0%

Under 5.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Over 5.5 Goals49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals34.0%

2-4 Goals30.6%

3-4 Goals25.1%

Under 3.5 Goals19.2%

1-3 Goals17.8%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.4%

Under 2.5 Goals8.8%

1-2 Goals7.4%

Exactly 2 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score87.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.2%

Away Clean Sheet11.5%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Home Clean Sheet2.9%

Home Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 0.587.4%

Away Over 1.585.7%

Away Over 2.567.6%

Away 3+ Goals67.6%

Home Over 1.562.6%

Home Over 2.536.0%

Home 3+ Goals36.0%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 124.8%

Away Exactly 218.2%

Home Exactly 011.5%

Away Exactly 110.3%

Away Exactly 02.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.1%

Away to win by 3+30.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 216.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 110.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.6%

Home to win by 3+4.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.3%

Away & Over 2.560.0%

Away & BTTS52.1%

Home & Over 2.519.5%

Home & BTTS18.4%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.9%

Home & No BTTS2.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.5%

HT Away Win51.9%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Both Teams Score49.4%

HT/FT Away/Away44.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.5%

HT Draw25.1%

HT Home Win23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.8%

HT/FT Home/Home12.5%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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