UEFA Europa League

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Sparta Praha 19.1% Draw 37.5% Lillestrom 43.4%

Over 2.5 - 21% BTTS - 29%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 20.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.7%

Exact-score model probability

Sparta Praha

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Lillestrom

D D

Form 0-2-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sparta Praha win19.1%

Draw37.5%

Lillestrom win43.4%

Over 1.5 goals48.2%

Over 2.5 goals21.0%

Over 3.5 goals7.5%

Both teams to score29.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

84.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

82.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

82.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)79.3%

Draw No Bet - Away68.5%

Home or Away (12)65.6%

Home or Draw (1X)55.1%

Away Win44.9%

Draw34.4%

Exactly 1 Goal32.6%

Draw No Bet - Home31.5%

Both Halves Over 0.529.4%

Goal in Both Halves29.4%

Home Win20.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.4%

Under 4.5 Goals97.8%

Under 3.5 Goals92.5%

Over 0.5 Goals79.3%

Under 2.5 Goals79.0%

1-3 Goals71.8%

1-2 Goals58.3%

Under 1.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even52.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 1.5 Goals46.7%

2-4 Goals44.5%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 2.5 Goals21.0%

Under 0.5 Goals20.7%

Exactly 0 Goals20.7%

3-4 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Over 3.5 Goals7.5%

4+ Goals7.5%

Over 4.5 Goals2.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)72.4%

Away Team to Score63.2%

Away Clean Sheet56.3%

Home Team to Score43.7%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Away Win to Nil35.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.6%

Home Win to Nil16.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.563.2%

Home Exactly 056.3%

Home Over 0.543.7%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Over 1.511.4%

Home Exactly 29.3%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.3%

Away to win by 127.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.2%

Away to win by 3+5.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.1%

Home to win by 24.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.567.1%

Away & No BTTS35.6%

Draw & Under 2.532.6%

Away & Under 2.531.1%

Home & No BTTS16.1%

BTTS & Over 2.515.7%

Home & Under 2.515.3%

Away & Over 2.513.8%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Away & BTTS9.3%

Home & Over 2.55.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Home & BTTS4.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.584.1%

HT Draw55.1%

HT Over 0.550.8%

HT Under 0.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals36.8%

Equal Goals Each Half35.5%

HT Away Win29.5%

1st Half More Goals27.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw27.4%

HT/FT Away/Away25.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Over 1.515.9%

HT Home Win15.4%

HT/FT Home/Home10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.4%

HT Both Teams Score8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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