UEFA Champions League

Sparta Praha vs Lyon

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Aug 4

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Sparta Praha 38.6% Draw 31.0% Lyon 30.4%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Sparta Praha

No recent results stored yet

Lyon

L L W W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sparta Praha win38.6%

Draw31.0%

Lyon win30.4%

Over 1.5 goals70.6%

Over 2.5 goals42.7%

Over 3.5 goals21.9%

Both teams to score50.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

90.8%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.4%

Home or Draw (1X)67.9%

Draw or Away (X2)59.8%

Draw No Bet - Home55.6%

Both Halves Over 0.548.2%

Goal in Both Halves48.2%

Draw No Bet - Away44.4%

Home Win40.2%

Away Win32.1%

Draw27.6%

Exactly 1 Goal21.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.8%

Under 4.5 Goals90.6%

Under 3.5 Goals78.1%

Over 1.5 Goals68.9%

1-3 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 2.5 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.1%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals33.3%

Under 1.5 Goals31.1%

Exactly 2 Goals26.2%

Over 3.5 Goals21.9%

4+ Goals21.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Over 4.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals9.2%

Exactly 0 Goals9.2%

Over 5.5 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score72.1%

Away Team to Score67.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.4%

Home Clean Sheet32.9%

Away Clean Sheet27.9%

Home Win to Nil23.8%

Away Win to Nil18.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.572.1%

Away Over 0.567.1%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 1.536.5%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 032.9%

Away Over 1.530.5%

Home Exactly 027.9%

Home Exactly 222.8%

Away Exactly 220.3%

Home Over 2.513.8%

Home 3+ Goals13.8%

Away Over 2.510.2%

Away 3+ Goals10.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 122.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 119.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.3%

Home to win by 3+6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.2%

BTTS & Over 2.535.4%

Home & No BTTS23.8%

Draw & Under 2.522.2%

Home & Over 2.521.0%

Home & Under 2.519.2%

Away & No BTTS18.7%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

Home & BTTS16.5%

Away & Over 2.516.3%

Away & Under 2.515.9%

Away & BTTS13.5%

BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.8%

HT Over 0.565.9%

HT Draw44.7%

2nd Half More Goals42.0%

HT Under 0.534.1%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Home Win30.1%

HT Over 1.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.5%

HT Away Win25.2%

HT/FT Home/Home23.5%

HT/FT Away/Away18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.7%

HT Both Teams Score17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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