Netherlands · Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Kick-off 11:15 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Sparta Rotterdam 20.9% Draw 26.3% Feyenoord 52.7%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 56%

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 2 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Sparta Rotterdam 1 wins, 1 draws, Feyenoord 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

56%

Market does not fully agree

Sparta Rotterdam

L L D L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Feyenoord

W D W W D D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Sparta Rotterdam 1wins ·1 draws ·Feyenoord 3wins

Sparta Rotterdam 4-3 FeyenoordJan 18, 2026

Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 FeyenoordAug 31, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 FeyenoordFeb 8, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FeyenoordAug 25, 2024

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 FeyenoordFeb 11, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sparta Rotterdam win20.9%

Draw26.3%

Feyenoord win52.7%

Over 1.5 goals79.3%

Over 2.5 goals78.7%

Over 3.5 goals31.9%

Both teams to score74.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)79.8%

Draw No Bet - Away75.4%

Both Halves Over 0.574.2%

Goal in Both Halves74.2%

Away Win61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)38.1%

Draw No Bet - Home24.6%

Home Win20.1%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.6%

Over 2.5 Goals76.1%

Under 4.5 Goals63.0%

Over 3.5 Goals56.6%

4+ Goals56.6%

2-4 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.4%

1-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals39.1%

Over 4.5 Goals37.0%

2-3 Goals34.2%

Under 2.5 Goals23.9%

1-2 Goals22.0%

Over 5.5 Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.6%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.2%

Home Team to Score76.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.7%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil21.9%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.2%

Home Over 0.576.1%

Away Over 1.572.4%

Away Over 2.547.1%

Away 3+ Goals47.1%

Home Over 1.542.0%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Away Exactly 119.7%

Home Over 2.517.5%

Home 3+ Goals17.5%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.4%

Away to win by 3+23.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.6%

Away to win by 120.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 111.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.6%

Home to win by 25.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

Home to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.5%

Away & Over 2.551.1%

Away & BTTS39.9%

Away & No BTTS21.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.0%

Draw & BTTS16.2%

Home & Over 2.515.6%

Home & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

Away & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & No BTTS5.9%

Home & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.5%

HT Over 1.553.7%

HT Away Win48.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.3%

HT/FT Away/Away41.3%

HT Both Teams Score32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.3%

HT Home Win20.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Under 0.516.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT/FT Home/Home11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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