Netherlands · Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

Kick-off 17:45 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Sparta Rotterdam 31.9% Draw 29.6% Utrecht 38.4%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Utrecht: 4 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Sparta Rotterdam

W L L L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:15 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.5

Utrecht

L L D W W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Sparta Rotterdam 2wins ·1 draws ·Utrecht 2wins

Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 UtrechtJan 25, 2026

Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 UtrechtAug 17, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 UtrechtMay 14, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 UtrechtNov 3, 2024

Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 UtrechtMay 23, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sparta Rotterdam win31.9%

Draw29.6%

Utrecht win38.4%

Over 1.5 goals73.7%

Over 2.5 goals91.3%

Over 3.5 goals25.2%

Both teams to score88.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Home Over 0.5

89.5%

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Both Halves Over 0.579.7%

Goal in Both Halves79.7%

Home or Draw (1X)59.8%

Draw or Away (X2)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Home50.2%

Draw No Bet - Away49.8%

Home Win40.5%

Away Win40.1%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals82.8%

Under 5.5 Goals70.0%

Over 3.5 Goals66.1%

4+ Goals66.1%

Under 4.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.1%

2-4 Goals46.8%

3-4 Goals35.7%

Under 3.5 Goals33.9%

1-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals30.0%

2-3 Goals27.8%

Under 2.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

1-2 Goals16.0%

Exactly 2 Goals11.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score89.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.8%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.3%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Away Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 1.566.1%

Away Over 1.565.8%

Home Over 2.539.5%

Home 3+ Goals39.5%

Away Over 2.539.2%

Away 3+ Goals39.2%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 123.6%

Home Exactly 123.5%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Home Exactly 010.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 211.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.3%

Away to win by 3+11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.6%

Home & Over 2.535.2%

Away & Over 2.534.9%

Home & BTTS31.1%

Away & BTTS30.8%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.9%

HT Over 1.560.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Both Teams Score40.8%

HT Under 1.539.6%

HT Home Win34.9%

HT Away Win34.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.5%

HT/FT Home/Home25.4%

HT/FT Away/Away25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT Under 0.513.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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