Russia · Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs Akron

Kick-off 14:15 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Spartak Moscow 78.1% Draw 12.9% Akron 9.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 11 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Akron

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Spartak Moscow win78.1%

Draw12.9%

Akron win9.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals84.1%

Over 3.5 goals67.9%

Both teams to score68.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.7%

Draw No Bet - Home89.2%

Home or Away (12)87.4%

Both Halves Over 0.580.8%

Goal in Both Halves80.8%

Home Win77.9%

Draw or Away (X2)21.2%

Draw11.7%

Draw No Bet - Away10.8%

Away Win9.5%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals83.3%

Under 5.5 Goals68.7%

Over 3.5 Goals67.3%

4+ Goals67.3%

Under 4.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals48.6%

2-4 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 3.5 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals31.3%

1-3 Goals30.9%

2-3 Goals26.4%

Under 2.5 Goals16.7%

Exactly 3 Goals16.1%

1-2 Goals14.8%

Exactly 2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score69.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.4%

Home Clean Sheet29.3%

Home Win to Nil28.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.7%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Home Over 2.565.6%

Home 3+ Goals65.6%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.534.2%

Away Exactly 029.3%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 219.1%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Home Exactly 111.2%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.9%

Home to win by 3+41.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 219.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 16.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.0%

BTTS & Over 2.563.6%

Home & BTTS49.6%

Home & No BTTS28.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Draw & BTTS10.8%

Home & Under 2.58.9%

Away & Over 2.57.6%

Away & BTTS7.2%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.6%

HT Over 1.561.8%

HT Home Win61.7%

HT/FT Home/Home57.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.2%

HT Both Teams Score33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT Under 0.512.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions