Russia · Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Spartak Moscow 46.8% Draw 22.0% FC Rostov 31.2%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 11 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Spartak Moscow win46.8%

Draw22.0%

FC Rostov win31.2%

Over 1.5 goals92.2%

Over 2.5 goals77.1%

Over 3.5 goals57.9%

Both teams to score75.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home Team to Score

89.3%

Home Over 0.5

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.575.0%

Goal in Both Halves75.0%

Home or Draw (1X)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Home59.7%

Draw or Away (X2)52.3%

Home Win47.7%

Draw No Bet - Away40.3%

Away Win32.1%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.1%

Under 4.5 Goals61.6%

Over 3.5 Goals57.9%

4+ Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals42.1%

1-3 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals33.4%

Under 2.5 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.3%

Away Team to Score83.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.1%

Home Clean Sheet16.0%

Home Win to Nil14.3%

Away Clean Sheet10.7%

Away Win to Nil9.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.3%

Away Over 0.583.9%

Home Over 1.565.4%

Away Over 1.554.5%

Home Over 2.538.7%

Home 3+ Goals38.7%

Away Exactly 129.4%

Away Over 2.527.7%

Away 3+ Goals27.7%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.9%

Away Exactly 016.0%

Home Exactly 010.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.3%

Home to win by 3+14.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 29.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.9%

Away to win by 3+6.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.9%

Home & Over 2.539.5%

Home & BTTS33.3%

Away & Over 2.526.1%

Away & BTTS23.2%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.8%

Home & No BTTS14.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Away & No BTTS9.0%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Over 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.4%

HT Home Win38.8%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

HT Draw32.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home30.3%

HT Away Win28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT/FT Away/Away19.4%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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