Russia · Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

Kick-off 16:45 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Spartak Moscow 57.3% Draw 22.5% Rubin 20.2%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 11 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Rubin

D D W L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Spartak Moscow 1wins ·0 draws ·Rubin 0wins

Spartak Moscow 2-1 RubinMay 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Spartak Moscow win57.3%

Draw22.5%

Rubin win20.2%

Over 1.5 goals87.1%

Over 2.5 goals67.1%

Over 3.5 goals45.4%

Both teams to score64.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Home or Draw (1X)78.6%

Draw No Bet - Home73.3%

Both Halves Over 0.567.1%

Goal in Both Halves67.1%

Home Win58.5%

Draw or Away (X2)41.5%

Draw No Bet - Away26.7%

Away Win21.3%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Under 5.5 Goals86.4%

Over 1.5 Goals85.9%

Under 4.5 Goals73.4%

Over 2.5 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals59.3%

Under 3.5 Goals54.6%

1-3 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.4%

4+ Goals45.4%

2-3 Goals40.5%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals32.9%

1-2 Goals29.7%

Over 4.5 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals18.8%

Under 1.5 Goals14.1%

Over 5.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.8%

Away Team to Score71.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.3%

Home Clean Sheet28.2%

Home Win to Nil25.1%

Away Clean Sheet11.2%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 0.571.7%

Home Over 1.564.3%

Home Over 2.537.5%

Home 3+ Goals37.5%

Away Over 1.536.0%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.5%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Away Over 2.513.5%

Away 3+ Goals13.5%

Home Exactly 011.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 122.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.0%

Home & Over 2.544.0%

Home & BTTS33.4%

Home & No BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.1%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Away & Over 2.514.8%

Home & Under 2.514.5%

Away & BTTS13.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

Draw & Under 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.9%

HT Under 1.553.9%

HT Over 1.546.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.0%

HT Home Win44.6%

HT/FT Home/Home38.0%

HT Draw34.7%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.1%

HT Under 0.521.1%

HT Away Win20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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