Russia · Premier League

Spartak Moscow vs Zenit

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Spartak Moscow 6.5% Draw 14.3% Zenit 79.2%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Zenit: 13 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Spartak Moscow

W L W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Zenit

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Spartak Moscow win6.5%

Draw14.3%

Zenit win79.2%

Over 1.5 goals88.0%

Over 2.5 goals69.4%

Over 3.5 goals48.1%

Both teams to score50.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.5%

Draw No Bet - Away91.7%

Home or Away (12)87.0%

Away Win79.7%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Home or Draw (1X)20.0%

Draw12.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Draw No Bet - Home8.3%

Home Win7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals87.0%

Under 5.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals71.2%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

1-3 Goals49.0%

Over 3.5 Goals47.9%

4+ Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.8%

Home Team to Score53.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.9%

Away Clean Sheet46.7%

Away Win to Nil44.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.9%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.8%

Away Over 1.577.1%

Away Over 2.553.5%

Away 3+ Goals53.5%

Home Over 0.553.0%

Home Exactly 046.7%

Home Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 223.6%

Home Over 1.517.6%

Away Exactly 116.7%

Home Exactly 213.4%

Away Exactly 05.9%

Home Over 2.54.1%

Home 3+ Goals4.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)59.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away59.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home39.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.5%

Away to win by 3+38.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 221.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.3%

Home to win by 15.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.5%

Home to win by 21.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.560.8%

Away & No BTTS44.0%

BTTS & Over 2.543.9%

Away & BTTS35.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.6%

Away & Under 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Home & Over 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.1%

Home & BTTS4.1%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Away Win60.6%

HT/FT Away/Away57.3%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Over 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw29.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.5%

HT Home Win9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Home/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners82.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners79.4%

Over 9.5 Corners72.7%

Home Most Corners63.3%

Over 10.5 Corners61.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Over 11.5 Corners50.0%

Under 11.5 Corners50.0%

Under 10.5 Corners38.3%

Under 9.5 Corners27.3%

Away Most Corners26.2%

Under 8.5 Corners17.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.5%

Over 2.5 Cards70.9%

Under 4.5 Cards69.4%

Under 3.5 Cards50.1%

Over 3.5 Cards49.9%

Over 4.5 Cards30.6%

Under 2.5 Cards29.1%

Over 5.5 Cards16.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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