Portugal · Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Sporting CP 76.9% Draw 14.2% Academico Viseu 8.7%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 85%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Academico Viseu: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Sporting CP

L W W D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Academico Viseu

W W W W L D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting CP win76.9%

Draw14.2%

Academico Viseu win8.7%

Over 1.5 goals83.9%

Over 2.5 goals64.2%

Over 3.5 goals42.1%

Both teams to score85.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.6%

Away Team to Score

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.1%

Goal in Both Halves86.1%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Home or Draw (1X)73.8%

Draw No Bet - Home69.1%

Home Win57.4%

Draw or Away (X2)42.0%

Draw No Bet - Away30.9%

Away Win25.7%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals89.6%

Over 3.5 Goals77.4%

4+ Goals77.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.2%

Under 5.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals43.8%

Under 4.5 Goals38.8%

2-4 Goals35.2%

3-4 Goals28.4%

Under 3.5 Goals22.6%

1-3 Goals21.5%

2-3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals12.2%

Under 2.5 Goals10.4%

1-2 Goals9.4%

Exactly 2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score88.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.6%

Home Clean Sheet11.2%

Home Win to Nil10.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 0.588.2%

Home Over 1.581.8%

Away Over 1.563.7%

Home Over 2.560.7%

Home 3+ Goals60.7%

Away Over 2.537.0%

Away 3+ Goals37.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 124.5%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Exactly 011.2%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.2%

Home to win by 3+24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.1%

Away to win by 3+6.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Home & Over 2.553.5%

Home & BTTS46.7%

Away & Over 2.523.5%

Away & BTTS21.9%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Home & No BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Over 1.569.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score47.4%

HT Home Win47.2%

HT/FT Home/Home39.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.8%

HT Draw26.8%

HT Away Win26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Away/Away15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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