UEFA Champions League

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Sporting CP 78.1% Draw 10.8% Lask Linz 11.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sporting CP: 14 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.92 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Sporting CP

W W D D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 13:5 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Lask Linz

L L W L

Form 1-0-3 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 2.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting CP win78.1%

Draw10.8%

Lask Linz win11.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.4%

Over 3.5 goals88.1%

Both teams to score85.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.8%

Goal in Both Halves

91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.8%

Goal in Both Halves91.8%

Draw No Bet - Home87.3%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Home Win75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)20.9%

Draw No Bet - Away12.7%

Away Win10.9%

Draw10.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.5%

Over 3.5 Goals84.5%

4+ Goals84.5%

Over 4.5 Goals73.1%

Over 5.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals41.5%

Under 4.5 Goals26.9%

2-4 Goals21.7%

3-4 Goals18.4%

Under 3.5 Goals15.5%

1-3 Goals11.3%

2-3 Goals10.3%

Under 2.5 Goals8.5%

Exactly 3 Goals7.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

1-2 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.5%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Home Win to Nil13.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.555.9%

Away Over 2.530.0%

Away 3+ Goals30.0%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away78.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away50.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home45.5%

Home to win by 3+45.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home30.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away20.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 16.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.1%

Home & Over 2.572.8%

Home & BTTS61.7%

Home & No BTTS13.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

Away & Over 2.510.3%

Away & BTTS10.0%

Draw & BTTS9.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.5%

HT Over 1.578.6%

HT Home Win63.9%

HT/FT Home/Home59.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.0%

HT Both Teams Score50.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Under 1.521.4%

HT Draw20.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT Away Win15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Away/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.0%

HT Under 0.55.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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