USA · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Austin

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Sporting Kansas City 35.9% Draw 16.4% Austin 47.7%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 92%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Austin win at 47.7%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Austin: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Sporting Kansas City win

35.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

16.4%

1X2 model probability

Austin win

47.7%

1X2 model probability

Sporting Kansas City

L L D L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Austin

L L L D D W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Sporting Kansas City 1wins ·0 draws ·Austin 0wins

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 AustinMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting Kansas City win35.9%

Draw16.4%

Austin win47.7%

Over 1.5 goals99.1%

Over 2.5 goals95.7%

Over 3.5 goals88.7%

Both teams to score92.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

92.0%

Goal in Both Halves

92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.0%

Goal in Both Halves92.0%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)63.1%

Draw No Bet - Away57.0%

Home or Draw (1X)51.4%

Away Win47.3%

Draw No Bet - Home43.0%

Home Win35.6%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.4%

Over 3.5 Goals87.5%

4+ Goals87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals76.4%

Over 5.5 Goals61.9%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 5.5 Goals38.1%

Under 4.5 Goals23.6%

2-4 Goals21.2%

3-4 Goals18.0%

Under 3.5 Goals12.5%

1-3 Goals11.0%

2-3 Goals10.0%

Exactly 3 Goals6.9%

Under 2.5 Goals5.6%

1-2 Goals4.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.2%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

Home Team to Score94.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil4.5%

Home Clean Sheet3.2%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 0.594.0%

Away Over 1.584.6%

Home Over 1.579.7%

Away Over 2.565.8%

Away 3+ Goals65.8%

Home Over 2.557.9%

Home 3+ Goals57.9%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Home Exactly 114.3%

Away Exactly 110.9%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Away Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)47.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.1%

Away to win by 3+19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.9%

Home to win by 3+11.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.4%

Away & Over 2.545.9%

Away & BTTS42.8%

Home & Over 2.534.4%

Home & BTTS32.6%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS4.5%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Home & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.6%

HT Over 1.579.0%

HT Both Teams Score58.9%

2nd Half More Goals52.1%

HT Away Win41.7%

HT Home Win33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away31.8%

HT Draw24.5%

HT/FT Home/Home22.9%

HT Under 1.521.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT Under 0.55.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners89.7%

Under 10.5 Corners82.8%

Under 9.5 Corners73.2%

Under 8.5 Corners61.0%

Away Most Corners51.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Over 8.5 Corners39.0%

Home Most Corners34.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners29.8%

Over 9.5 Corners26.8%

Over 10.5 Corners17.2%

Over 11.5 Corners10.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards78.0%

Under 5.5 Cards76.5%

Under 4.5 Cards60.4%

Over 3.5 Cards59.1%

Under 3.5 Cards40.9%

Over 4.5 Cards39.6%

Over 5.5 Cards23.5%

Under 2.5 Cards22.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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