USA · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo

Full time · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Sporting Kansas City 37.5% Draw 18.7% Houston Dynamo 43.8%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

✓ Pick was correct (0:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 49%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

49%

Market does not fully agree

Sporting Kansas City

L W L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Houston Dynamo

W D D W L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting Kansas City win37.5%

Draw18.7%

Houston Dynamo win43.8%

Over 1.5 goals97.3%

Over 2.5 goals89.8%

Over 3.5 goals77.4%

Both teams to score86.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

HT Over 0.5

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.9%

Goal in Both Halves85.9%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)55.6%

Draw No Bet - Away53.8%

Draw No Bet - Home46.2%

Away Win44.1%

Home Win37.8%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.5%

Over 2.5 Goals89.5%

Over 3.5 Goals77.1%

4+ Goals77.1%

Over 4.5 Goals60.7%

Under 5.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals43.3%

Under 4.5 Goals39.3%

2-4 Goals35.8%

3-4 Goals28.8%

Under 3.5 Goals22.9%

1-3 Goals22.1%

2-3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals12.4%

Under 2.5 Goals10.5%

1-2 Goals9.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.5%

Under 0.5 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.2%

Home Team to Score91.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.0%

Away Clean Sheet7.8%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.2%

Home Over 0.591.9%

Away Over 1.575.6%

Home Over 1.572.1%

Away Over 2.551.4%

Away 3+ Goals51.4%

Home Over 2.546.8%

Home 3+ Goals46.8%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 119.8%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 07.8%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 115.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.0%

Away to win by 3+15.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 212.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.9%

Home to win by 210.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.5%

Away & Over 2.540.8%

Away & BTTS36.8%

Home & Over 2.534.9%

Home & BTTS31.9%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & No BTTS5.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.8%

HT Over 1.568.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score48.4%

HT Away Win38.2%

HT Home Win34.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.2%

HT/FT Away/Away28.5%

HT Draw27.7%

HT/FT Home/Home23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.8%

HT Under 0.59.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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