USA · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union

● LIVE 60' · 3:0

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

68% confidence

Sporting Kansas City 18.9% Draw 12.9% Philadelphia Union 68.2%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Philadelphia Union win at 68.2%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 4 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Sporting Kansas City win

18.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

12.9%

1X2 model probability

Philadelphia Union win

68.2%

1X2 model probability

Sporting Kansas City

W L L L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Philadelphia Union

W W W D D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 18:5 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting Kansas City win18.9%

Draw12.9%

Philadelphia Union win68.2%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.2%

Over 3.5 goals92.2%

Both teams to score91.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Most Corners

91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.1%

Goal in Both Halves94.1%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Away78.2%

Draw or Away (X2)77.5%

Away Win65.4%

Home or Draw (1X)30.4%

Draw No Bet - Home21.8%

Home Win18.3%

Draw12.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.1%

Over 3.5 Goals88.3%

4+ Goals88.3%

Over 4.5 Goals79.7%

Over 5.5 Goals67.5%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals32.5%

Under 4.5 Goals20.3%

2-4 Goals15.4%

3-4 Goals13.4%

Under 3.5 Goals11.7%

1-3 Goals7.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.9%

2-3 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.6%

Exactly 2 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.7%

Home Team to Score88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.7%

Away Over 1.589.7%

Home Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 2.578.5%

Away 3+ Goals78.5%

Home Over 1.570.8%

Home Over 2.546.9%

Home 3+ Goals46.9%

Home Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 06.9%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home83.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home45.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.8%

Away to win by 3+35.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 215.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.2%

Home to win by 25.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.0%

Away & Over 2.564.3%

Away & BTTS58.6%

Home & Over 2.517.8%

Home & BTTS17.2%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.9%

HT Over 1.583.0%

HT Both Teams Score60.3%

HT Away Win56.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.9%

HT/FT Away/Away49.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Home Win21.9%

HT Draw21.3%

HT Under 1.517.0%

Equal Goals Each Half14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT/FT Home/Home11.1%

HT/FT Home/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT Under 0.54.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

Corners (12)

Away Most Corners91.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners82.3%

Under 11.5 Corners77.0%

Under 10.5 Corners66.6%

Over 8.5 Corners58.7%

Under 9.5 Corners54.4%

Over 9.5 Corners45.6%

Under 8.5 Corners41.3%

Over 10.5 Corners33.4%

Over 11.5 Corners23.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners9.3%

Home Most Corners4.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.2%

Under 4.5 Cards71.8%

Over 2.5 Cards68.7%

Under 3.5 Cards52.8%

Over 3.5 Cards47.2%

Under 2.5 Cards31.3%

Over 4.5 Cards28.2%

Over 5.5 Cards14.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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