USA · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Sporting Kansas City 54.6% Draw 17.4% Portland Timbers 28.0%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 87%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sporting Kansas City: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Sporting Kansas City

L W L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 12:14 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.33

Portland Timbers

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:14 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 1

Sporting Kansas City 0wins ·0 draws ·Portland Timbers 1wins

Sporting Kansas City 0-6 Portland TimbersMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting Kansas City win54.6%

Draw17.4%

Portland Timbers win28.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.7%

Over 2.5 goals91.0%

Over 3.5 goals79.6%

Both teams to score86.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.5%

Away Team to Score

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.1%

Goal in Both Halves87.1%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)71.2%

Draw No Bet - Home65.9%

Home Win54.7%

Draw or Away (X2)44.8%

Draw No Bet - Away34.1%

Away Win28.2%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals90.5%

Over 3.5 Goals79.1%

4+ Goals79.1%

Over 4.5 Goals63.5%

Under 5.5 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals46.3%

Under 4.5 Goals36.5%

2-4 Goals33.2%

3-4 Goals27.0%

Under 3.5 Goals20.9%

1-3 Goals19.9%

2-3 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals11.4%

Under 2.5 Goals9.5%

1-2 Goals8.5%

Exactly 2 Goals6.2%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score89.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.1%

Home Clean Sheet9.6%

Home Win to Nil9.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.3%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 0.589.8%

Home Over 1.581.7%

Away Over 1.567.3%

Home Over 2.560.5%

Home 3+ Goals60.5%

Away Over 2.541.0%

Away 3+ Goals41.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 122.5%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Exactly 09.6%

Home Exactly 04.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.4%

Home to win by 3+22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 117.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.9%

Home & Over 2.551.3%

Home & BTTS45.4%

Away & Over 2.526.1%

Away & BTTS24.4%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

Home & No BTTS9.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.5%

HT Over 1.570.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score49.3%

HT Home Win45.5%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.3%

HT Away Win27.9%

HT Draw26.6%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT Under 0.58.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

Corners (12)

Away Most Corners82.3%

Under 11.5 Corners80.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners73.1%

Under 10.5 Corners70.6%

Under 9.5 Corners58.7%

Over 8.5 Corners54.4%

Under 8.5 Corners45.6%

Over 9.5 Corners41.3%

Over 10.5 Corners29.4%

Over 11.5 Corners19.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners16.4%

Home Most Corners10.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards78.0%

Under 5.5 Cards76.5%

Under 4.5 Cards60.4%

Over 3.5 Cards59.1%

Under 3.5 Cards40.9%

Over 4.5 Cards39.6%

Over 5.5 Cards23.5%

Under 2.5 Cards22.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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