USA · Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake

● LIVE 62' · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Sporting Kansas City 62.8% Draw 17.2% Real Salt Lake 20.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sporting Kansas City: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Sporting Kansas City

L D L W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 12:14 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.33

Real Salt Lake

D W D L L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sporting Kansas City win62.8%

Draw17.2%

Real Salt Lake win20.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.9%

Over 2.5 goals86.0%

Over 3.5 goals70.9%

Both teams to score79.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.0%

HT Over 0.5

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Both Halves Over 0.582.4%

Goal in Both Halves82.4%

Home or Draw (1X)79.2%

Draw No Bet - Home75.6%

Home Win63.1%

Draw or Away (X2)36.4%

Draw No Bet - Away24.4%

Away Win20.4%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals85.6%

Over 3.5 Goals70.6%

4+ Goals70.6%

Under 5.5 Goals65.0%

Over 4.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals47.5%

2-4 Goals42.4%

Over 5.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals33.1%

Under 3.5 Goals29.4%

1-3 Goals28.2%

2-3 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals15.0%

Under 2.5 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals13.2%

Exactly 2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score82.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.9%

Home Win to Nil16.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Away Over 0.582.7%

Home Over 1.580.4%

Home Over 2.558.4%

Home 3+ Goals58.4%

Away Over 1.552.8%

Away Exactly 129.9%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.526.2%

Away 3+ Goals26.2%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 016.9%

Home Exactly 114.4%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.4%

Home to win by 3+27.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.8%

Away to win by 3+3.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.5%

Home & Over 2.557.0%

Home & BTTS47.1%

Away & Over 2.517.7%

Away & BTTS16.5%

Home & No BTTS16.1%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

Home & Under 2.56.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.6%

HT Over 1.563.9%

HT Home Win50.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT/FT Home/Home43.4%

HT Both Teams Score41.1%

HT Under 1.536.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.8%

HT Away Win21.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.0%

HT Under 0.511.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners74.5%

Over 9.5 Corners63.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners62.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners62.3%

Under 11.5 Corners60.9%

Over 10.5 Corners51.0%

Under 10.5 Corners49.0%

Home Most Corners43.8%

Away Most Corners43.8%

Over 11.5 Corners39.1%

Under 9.5 Corners36.8%

Under 8.5 Corners25.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards78.0%

Under 5.5 Cards76.5%

Under 4.5 Cards60.4%

Over 3.5 Cards59.1%

Under 3.5 Cards40.9%

Over 4.5 Cards39.6%

Over 5.5 Cards23.5%

Under 2.5 Cards22.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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