Germany · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

68% confidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 68.1% Draw 12.9% 1. FC Heidenheim 19.0%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is SpVgg Greuther Fürth win at 68.1%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Heidenheim: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win

68.1%

1X2 model probability

Draw

12.9%

1X2 model probability

1. FC Heidenheim win

19%

1X2 model probability

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L D W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

1. FC Heidenheim

L W L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:13 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win68.1%

Draw12.9%

1. FC Heidenheim win19.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.2%

Over 3.5 goals92.2%

Both teams to score91.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.1%

Goal in Both Halves94.1%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Draw No Bet - Home78.1%

Home or Draw (1X)77.4%

Home Win65.3%

Draw or Away (X2)30.5%

Draw No Bet - Away21.9%

Away Win18.4%

Draw12.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.2%

Over 3.5 Goals88.4%

4+ Goals88.4%

Over 4.5 Goals79.8%

Over 5.5 Goals67.5%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals32.5%

Under 4.5 Goals20.2%

2-4 Goals15.4%

3-4 Goals13.4%

Under 3.5 Goals11.6%

1-3 Goals7.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.8%

2-3 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.6%

Exactly 2 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.7%

Away Team to Score89.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.8%

Home Win to Nil6.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 0.589.0%

Home Over 2.578.5%

Home 3+ Goals78.5%

Away Over 1.571.0%

Away Over 2.547.1%

Away 3+ Goals47.1%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 118.0%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 06.8%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away60.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.7%

Home to win by 3+35.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home22.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 215.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 18.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.0%

Home & Over 2.564.2%

Home & BTTS58.6%

Away & Over 2.517.9%

Away & BTTS17.3%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

Home & No BTTS6.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.0%

HT Over 1.583.0%

HT Both Teams Score60.4%

HT Home Win56.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.9%

HT/FT Home/Home49.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win22.0%

HT Draw21.3%

HT Under 1.517.0%

Equal Goals Each Half14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.2%

HT/FT Away/Home6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.54.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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