Germany · 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 76.9% Draw 11.8% Holstein Kiel 11.3%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Holstein Kiel

L D D L L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win76.9%

Draw11.8%

Holstein Kiel win11.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.6%

Over 3.5 goals82.4%

Both teams to score81.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Home Over 1.5

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.7%

Goal in Both Halves88.7%

Draw No Bet - Home86.9%

Home or Away (12)86.7%

Home or Draw (1X)86.4%

Home Win75.4%

Draw or Away (X2)22.3%

Draw No Bet - Away13.1%

Away Win11.3%

Draw11.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.6%

Over 2.5 Goals90.5%

Over 3.5 Goals80.5%

4+ Goals80.5%

Over 4.5 Goals66.2%

Under 5.5 Goals50.5%

Over 5.5 Goals49.5%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 4.5 Goals33.8%

2-4 Goals29.5%

3-4 Goals24.3%

Under 3.5 Goals19.5%

1-3 Goals16.9%

2-3 Goals15.1%

Exactly 3 Goals9.9%

Under 2.5 Goals9.5%

1-2 Goals6.9%

Exactly 2 Goals5.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score80.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.0%

Home Clean Sheet17.3%

Home Win to Nil17.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.7%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.9%

Away Over 0.580.4%

Home Over 2.574.6%

Home 3+ Goals74.6%

Away Over 1.550.5%

Away Exactly 129.9%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.524.5%

Away 3+ Goals24.5%

Away Exactly 017.3%

Home Exactly 214.3%

Home Exactly 17.1%

Home Exactly 01.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)54.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away54.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.4%

Home to win by 3+43.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 115.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 16.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.8%

Home & Over 2.571.6%

Home & BTTS58.4%

Home & No BTTS17.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

Away & Over 2.510.3%

Away & BTTS9.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.3%

HT Home Win62.1%

HT/FT Home/Home57.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score45.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.7%

HT Draw22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.6%

HT Away Win15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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