Scotland · Premiership

ST Johnstone vs Dundee

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

ST Johnstone 39.1% Draw 26.8% Dundee 34.1%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Dundee: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: ST Johnstone 1 wins, 2 draws, Dundee 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

ST Johnstone

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Dundee

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

ST Johnstone 1wins ·2 draws ·Dundee 2wins

ST Johnstone 1-1 DundeeSep 2, 2026

ST Johnstone 0-2 DundeeMay 18, 2025

ST Johnstone 1-1 DundeeMar 1, 2025

ST Johnstone 1-3 DundeeJan 5, 2025

ST Johnstone 2-1 DundeeOct 26, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

ST Johnstone win39.1%

Draw26.8%

Dundee win34.1%

Over 1.5 goals71.4%

Over 2.5 goals45.9%

Over 3.5 goals24.5%

Both teams to score76.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Both Halves Over 0.570.6%

Goal in Both Halves70.6%

Home or Draw (1X)65.7%

Draw No Bet - Home56.4%

Draw or Away (X2)55.7%

Home Win44.3%

Draw No Bet - Away43.6%

Away Win34.3%

Draw21.4%

Exactly 1 Goal9.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals88.4%

Under 5.5 Goals82.9%

Over 2.5 Goals71.6%

Under 4.5 Goals68.6%

2-4 Goals57.0%

Over 3.5 Goals50.7%

4+ Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals49.3%

1-3 Goals46.8%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals37.7%

Over 4.5 Goals31.4%

Under 2.5 Goals28.4%

1-2 Goals25.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Over 5.5 Goals17.1%

Exactly 2 Goals16.9%

Under 1.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.2%

Away Team to Score82.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.1%

Home Clean Sheet17.7%

Home Win to Nil15.3%

Away Clean Sheet13.8%

Away Win to Nil11.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.2%

Away Over 0.582.2%

Home Over 1.558.8%

Away Over 1.551.6%

Home Over 2.531.8%

Home 3+ Goals31.8%

Away Exactly 130.7%

Home Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.525.0%

Away 3+ Goals25.0%

Away Exactly 017.7%

Home Exactly 013.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.1%

Away to win by 3+7.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.5%

Home & Over 2.534.6%

Home & BTTS29.0%

Away & Over 2.526.4%

Away & BTTS22.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.0%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Home & No BTTS15.3%

Away & No BTTS11.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.57.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.2%

HT Under 1.550.3%

HT Over 1.549.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

HT Home Win36.0%

HT Draw34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.9%

HT Away Win29.6%

HT/FT Home/Home27.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.2%

HT/FT Away/Away20.6%

HT Under 0.518.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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