Scotland · Premiership

ST Johnstone vs Hibernian

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

ST Johnstone 22.4% Draw 25.4% Hibernian 52.2%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Hibernian: 7 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: ST Johnstone 1 wins, 1 draws, Hibernian 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.8%

Exact-score model probability

ST Johnstone

D L W L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Hibernian

L W D D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

ST Johnstone 1wins ·1 draws ·Hibernian 3wins

ST Johnstone 0-3 HibernianMar 29, 2025

ST Johnstone 1-1 HibernianJan 2, 2025

ST Johnstone 0-2 HibernianSep 14, 2024

ST Johnstone 1-3 HibernianApr 27, 2024

ST Johnstone 2-1 HibernianApr 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

ST Johnstone win22.4%

Draw25.4%

Hibernian win52.2%

Over 1.5 goals73.7%

Over 2.5 goals48.3%

Over 3.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score60.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Away61.8%

Both Halves Over 0.555.7%

Goal in Both Halves55.7%

Home or Draw (1X)53.5%

Away Win46.5%

Draw No Bet - Home38.2%

Home Win28.7%

Draw24.9%

Exactly 1 Goal17.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.7%

Under 5.5 Goals93.7%

Under 4.5 Goals85.2%

Over 1.5 Goals76.4%

Under 3.5 Goals69.8%

1-3 Goals63.6%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.6%

2-3 Goals46.2%

1-2 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals37.6%

Over 3.5 Goals30.2%

4+ Goals30.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.0%

Under 1.5 Goals23.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.8%

Under 0.5 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.3%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.4%

Home Team to Score69.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.8%

Away Clean Sheet30.5%

Away Win to Nil24.2%

Home Clean Sheet20.6%

Home Win to Nil14.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.4%

Home Over 0.569.5%

Away Over 1.546.9%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.533.3%

Away Exactly 132.5%

Home Exactly 030.5%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Away Over 2.521.2%

Away 3+ Goals21.2%

Away Exactly 020.6%

Home Over 2.511.8%

Home 3+ Goals11.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.6%

Away to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.8%

Away to win by 3+9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 27.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.7%

Home to win by 3+3.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.9%

Away & Over 2.528.7%

Away & No BTTS24.2%

Away & BTTS22.3%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Draw & Under 2.518.0%

Away & Under 2.517.7%

Home & Over 2.516.8%

Home & BTTS14.4%

Home & No BTTS14.3%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.3%

HT Under 1.564.6%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Draw40.8%

HT Over 1.535.4%

HT Away Win35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.528.7%

HT/FT Away/Away28.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT Home Win24.1%

HT Both Teams Score21.1%

HT/FT Home/Home16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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