USA · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC

● LIVE 62' · 4:2

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

59% confidence

St. Louis City 59.2% Draw 14.1% Minnesota United FC 26.7%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

95%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is St. Louis City win at 59.2%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 12 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

St. Louis City win

59.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.1%

1X2 model probability

Minnesota United FC win

26.7%

1X2 model probability

St. Louis City

D W D W D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Minnesota United FC

L L D W L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 15:14 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Louis City win59.2%

Draw14.1%

Minnesota United FC win26.7%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals94.7%

Both teams to score95.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.6%

Goal in Both Halves95.6%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)69.8%

Draw No Bet - Home68.8%

Home Win56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)38.8%

Draw No Bet - Away31.2%

Away Win25.6%

Draw13.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.3%

4+ Goals90.3%

Over 4.5 Goals83.9%

Over 5.5 Goals73.8%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Total Goals Even47.7%

Under 5.5 Goals26.2%

Under 4.5 Goals16.1%

2-4 Goals11.1%

3-4 Goals9.8%

Under 3.5 Goals9.7%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

1-3 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

2-3 Goals4.6%

Exactly 3 Goals3.3%

1-2 Goals1.6%

Exactly 2 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score91.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.4%

Home Clean Sheet3.7%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 0.591.6%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Away Over 1.579.5%

Home Over 2.578.1%

Home 3+ Goals78.1%

Away Over 2.559.8%

Away 3+ Goals59.8%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Away Exactly 112.1%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 03.7%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.2%

Home to win by 3+28.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 213.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 110.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.9%

Away to win by 3+7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 27.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.9%

Home & Over 2.555.9%

Home & BTTS52.8%

Away & Over 2.525.2%

Away & BTTS24.5%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.8%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.0%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

BTTS & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.9%

HT Over 1.586.2%

HT Both Teams Score66.6%

2nd Half More Goals53.6%

HT Home Win50.7%

HT/FT Home/Home42.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win27.8%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away16.3%

Equal Goals Each Half14.1%

HT Under 1.513.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT Under 0.53.1%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners71.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners65.5%

Under 11.5 Corners64.4%

Over 9.5 Corners59.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners53.7%

Under 10.5 Corners52.6%

Home Most Corners52.5%

Over 10.5 Corners47.4%

Under 9.5 Corners40.2%

Over 11.5 Corners35.6%

Away Most Corners35.3%

Under 8.5 Corners28.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards81.7%

Under 5.5 Cards71.7%

Over 3.5 Cards64.3%

Under 4.5 Cards54.8%

Over 4.5 Cards45.2%

Under 3.5 Cards35.7%

Over 5.5 Cards28.3%

Under 2.5 Cards18.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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