USA · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers

Full time · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

St. Louis City 81.1% Draw 9.9% Portland Timbers 9.0%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (1:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 11 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

St. Louis City

L D W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Portland Timbers

W D L D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

St. Louis City 0wins ·1 draws ·Portland Timbers 0wins

St. Louis City 2-2 Portland TimbersSep 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Louis City win81.1%

Draw9.9%

Portland Timbers win9.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.7%

Over 2.5 goals94.6%

Over 3.5 goals86.3%

Both teams to score81.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.9%

Goal in Both Halves

90.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.9%

Goal in Both Halves90.9%

Draw No Bet - Home89.8%

Home or Draw (1X)87.1%

Home or Away (12)86.9%

Home Win78.1%

Draw or Away (X2)17.9%

Draw No Bet - Away10.2%

Draw9.1%

Away Win8.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.6%

Over 2.5 Goals90.8%

Over 3.5 Goals82.9%

4+ Goals82.9%

Over 4.5 Goals70.5%

Over 5.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals44.8%

Under 4.5 Goals29.5%

2-4 Goals24.0%

3-4 Goals20.2%

Under 3.5 Goals17.1%

1-3 Goals12.9%

2-3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.2%

Exactly 3 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.4%

1-2 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score79.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.8%

Home Clean Sheet16.8%

Home Win to Nil16.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 0.579.1%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.549.8%

Away Exactly 129.3%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Away Over 2.524.3%

Away 3+ Goals24.3%

Away Exactly 016.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away63.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home48.9%

Home to win by 3+48.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away47.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home33.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home19.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 15.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.7%

Home & Over 2.575.2%

Home & BTTS61.4%

Home & No BTTS16.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS8.9%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.9%

HT Over 1.577.0%

HT Home Win66.3%

HT/FT Home/Home62.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.6%

HT Both Teams Score47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.523.0%

HT Draw20.1%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT Away Win13.5%

HT Under 0.56.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners79.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners75.7%

Over 9.5 Corners69.5%

Home Most Corners59.7%

Over 10.5 Corners57.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 11.5 Corners54.0%

Over 11.5 Corners46.0%

Under 10.5 Corners42.1%

Under 9.5 Corners30.5%

Away Most Corners29.2%

Under 8.5 Corners20.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.8%

Over 3.5 Cards72.3%

Under 5.5 Cards63.1%

Over 4.5 Cards54.5%

Under 4.5 Cards45.5%

Over 5.5 Cards36.9%

Under 3.5 Cards27.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.7%

Under 2.5 Cards13.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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