USA · Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Toronto FC

● LIVE 63' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

St. Louis City 79.1% Draw 11.4% Toronto FC 9.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 12 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

St. Louis City

W D W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 15:10 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Toronto FC

L W D D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:13 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Louis City win79.1%

Draw11.4%

Toronto FC win9.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.5%

Over 3.5 goals78.6%

Both teams to score76.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Draw No Bet - Home

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home89.0%

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Home or Away (12)87.5%

Both Halves Over 0.586.7%

Goal in Both Halves86.7%

Home Win77.9%

Draw or Away (X2)20.2%

Draw No Bet - Away11.0%

Draw10.5%

Away Win9.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.8%

Over 3.5 Goals77.1%

4+ Goals77.1%

Over 4.5 Goals61.2%

Under 5.5 Goals56.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Over 5.5 Goals43.9%

Under 4.5 Goals38.8%

2-4 Goals34.1%

3-4 Goals27.6%

Under 3.5 Goals22.9%

1-3 Goals20.6%

2-3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals11.2%

1-2 Goals8.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score76.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.3%

Home Clean Sheet21.8%

Home Win to Nil21.4%

Away Clean Sheet2.0%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.3%

Away Over 0.576.3%

Home Over 2.573.1%

Home 3+ Goals73.1%

Away Over 1.543.5%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 021.8%

Away Over 2.518.8%

Away 3+ Goals18.8%

Home Exactly 215.2%

Home Exactly 17.8%

Home Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away52.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home45.3%

Home to win by 3+45.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 115.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 15.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.572.8%

BTTS & Over 2.572.2%

Home & BTTS56.5%

Home & No BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.6%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

Away & Over 2.58.5%

Away & BTTS8.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.1%

HT Home Win63.6%

HT/FT Home/Home59.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score40.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.9%

HT Draw22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT Away Win13.8%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Away/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners85.5%

Home Most Corners80.2%

Over 8.5 Corners79.6%

Over 9.5 Corners69.5%

Over 10.5 Corners57.9%

Under 11.5 Corners54.0%

Over 11.5 Corners46.0%

Under 10.5 Corners42.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Under 9.5 Corners30.5%

Under 8.5 Corners20.4%

Away Most Corners12.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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