Scotland · Premiership

ST Mirren vs Hibernian

Kick-off 20:45 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

ST Mirren 29.4% Draw 27.8% Hibernian 42.8%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to ST Mirren: 13 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: ST Mirren 0 wins, 3 draws, Hibernian 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

ST Mirren

L W D W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Hibernian

L W D D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

ST Mirren 0wins ·3 draws ·Hibernian 2wins

ST Mirren 0-2 HibernianFeb 14, 2026

ST Mirren 0-3 HibernianNov 8, 2025

ST Mirren 1-1 HibernianAug 31, 2025

ST Mirren 2-2 HibernianMay 14, 2025

ST Mirren 0-0 HibernianFeb 16, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

ST Mirren win29.4%

Draw27.8%

Hibernian win42.8%

Over 1.5 goals67.2%

Over 2.5 goals40.7%

Over 3.5 goals20.3%

Both teams to score50.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.3%

Draw or Away (X2)66.0%

Home or Draw (1X)61.6%

Draw No Bet - Away53.0%

Both Halves Over 0.548.3%

Goal in Both Halves48.3%

Draw No Bet - Home47.0%

Away Win38.4%

Home Win34.0%

Draw27.7%

Exactly 1 Goal21.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals90.5%

Under 3.5 Goals78.0%

Over 1.5 Goals69.1%

1-3 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 2.5 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.9%

3-4 Goals33.4%

Under 1.5 Goals30.9%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.0%

4+ Goals22.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals9.1%

Exactly 0 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score71.1%

Home Team to Score68.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.7%

Away Clean Sheet31.6%

Home Clean Sheet28.9%

Away Win to Nil22.5%

Home Win to Nil19.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.571.1%

Home Over 0.568.4%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.535.3%

Home Over 1.532.0%

Home Exactly 031.6%

Away Exactly 028.9%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 221.0%

Away Over 2.513.0%

Away 3+ Goals13.0%

Home Over 2.511.0%

Home 3+ Goals11.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 29.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.7%

Away to win by 3+5.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.4%

Home to win by 3+4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.0%

BTTS & Over 2.535.6%

Away & No BTTS22.5%

Draw & Under 2.522.2%

Away & Over 2.520.0%

Home & No BTTS19.7%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Away & Under 2.518.4%

Home & Over 2.517.4%

Home & Under 2.516.6%

Away & BTTS15.9%

Home & BTTS14.2%

BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.7%

HT Over 0.566.0%

HT Draw44.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Under 0.534.0%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.3%

HT Away Win29.0%

Equal Goals Each Half27.4%

HT Home Win26.4%

HT/FT Away/Away22.3%

HT/FT Home/Home19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.7%

HT Both Teams Score17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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