Scotland · Premiership

ST Mirren vs Rangers

Kick-off 21:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

ST Mirren 19.8% Draw 23.9% Rangers 56.3%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Rangers: 13 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: ST Mirren 0 wins, 2 draws, Rangers 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

ST Mirren

L W D W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Rangers

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 5

ST Mirren 0wins ·2 draws ·Rangers 3wins

ST Mirren 0-1 RangersSep 9, 2026

ST Mirren 0-1 RangersMar 15, 2026

ST Mirren 1-2 RangersDec 30, 2025

ST Mirren 1-1 RangersAug 24, 2025

ST Mirren 2-2 RangersApr 26, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

ST Mirren win19.8%

Draw23.9%

Rangers win56.3%

Over 1.5 goals72.9%

Over 2.5 goals47.8%

Over 3.5 goals26.1%

Both teams to score65.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.5%

Draw or Away (X2)73.7%

Draw No Bet - Away65.7%

Both Halves Over 0.559.3%

Goal in Both Halves59.3%

Away Win50.3%

Home or Draw (1X)49.7%

Draw No Bet - Home34.3%

Home Win26.3%

Draw23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal15.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.9%

Under 5.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals82.0%

Over 1.5 Goals79.6%

Under 3.5 Goals65.4%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.2%

Over 2.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.0%

Under 2.5 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals39.0%

1-2 Goals37.8%

Over 3.5 Goals34.6%

4+ Goals34.6%

Exactly 2 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.4%

Over 4.5 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals5.1%

Exactly 0 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.8%

Home Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.9%

Away Clean Sheet29.8%

Away Win to Nil24.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil12.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.8%

Home Over 0.570.2%

Away Over 1.552.5%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Home Over 1.534.1%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 029.8%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.9%

Away 3+ Goals25.9%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Home Over 2.512.3%

Home 3+ Goals12.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.7%

Away to win by 122.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 215.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.2%

Away to win by 3+12.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.3%

Home to win by 27.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.4%

Home to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.2%

Away & Over 2.533.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.0%

Away & BTTS25.6%

Away & No BTTS24.7%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & Under 2.517.0%

Home & Over 2.516.3%

Draw & Under 2.516.0%

Home & BTTS14.2%

Home & No BTTS12.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Home & Under 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.7%

HT Under 1.561.4%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT Draw38.9%

HT Over 1.538.6%

HT Away Win38.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT/FT Away/Away31.2%

HT Under 0.526.3%

Equal Goals Each Half24.1%

HT Home Win23.0%

HT Both Teams Score23.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.1%

HT/FT Home/Home15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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