Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

St. Truiden 57.4% Draw 22.5% KVC Westerlo 20.0%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Truiden: 11 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

St. Truiden

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

KVC Westerlo

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

St. Truiden 3wins ·1 draws ·KVC Westerlo 1wins

St. Truiden 4-0 KVC WesterloFeb 6, 2026

St. Truiden 0-3 KVC WesterloSep 14, 2025

St. Truiden 2-1 KVC WesterloJan 11, 2025

St. Truiden 2-0 KVC WesterloOct 26, 2024

St. Truiden 2-2 KVC WesterloMay 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Truiden win57.4%

Draw22.5%

KVC Westerlo win20.0%

Over 1.5 goals84.8%

Over 2.5 goals87.4%

Over 3.5 goals41.6%

Both teams to score63.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.3%

Draw No Bet - Home90.9%

Home or Away (12)87.9%

Home Win79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.6%

Goal in Both Halves77.6%

Draw or Away (X2)19.4%

Draw11.4%

Draw No Bet - Away9.1%

Away Win8.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals79.7%

Under 5.5 Goals74.2%

Over 3.5 Goals61.7%

4+ Goals61.7%

Under 4.5 Goals57.6%

2-4 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals42.4%

Under 3.5 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals37.3%

1-3 Goals36.3%

2-3 Goals30.5%

Over 5.5 Goals25.8%

Under 2.5 Goals20.3%

1-2 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals12.5%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score63.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.8%

Home Clean Sheet35.7%

Home Win to Nil34.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 1.583.3%

Away Over 0.563.6%

Home Over 2.563.0%

Home 3+ Goals63.0%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 035.7%

Away Over 1.527.1%

Home Exactly 220.2%

Away Exactly 218.7%

Home Exactly 112.3%

Away Over 2.58.4%

Away 3+ Goals8.4%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.8%

Home to win by 3+42.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 15.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.2%

BTTS & Over 2.556.7%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Home & No BTTS34.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Over 2.55.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Away & BTTS5.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.6%

HT Home Win62.6%

HT/FT Home/Home58.9%

HT Over 1.557.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.5%

HT Draw26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Under 0.514.4%

HT Away Win11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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