Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Lommel United

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

St. Truiden 45.2% Draw 28.7% Lommel United 26.0%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Lommel United: 10 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

St. Truiden

W L D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Lommel United

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 14:5 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Truiden win45.2%

Draw28.7%

Lommel United win26.0%

Over 1.5 goals72.8%

Over 2.5 goals81.3%

Over 3.5 goals24.5%

Both teams to score77.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Home or Draw (1X)75.9%

Draw No Bet - Home70.7%

Home Win57.9%

Draw or Away (X2)41.9%

Draw No Bet - Away29.3%

Away Win24.0%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.4%

Over 3.5 Goals63.7%

4+ Goals63.7%

Under 4.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals36.7%

Under 3.5 Goals36.3%

1-3 Goals34.9%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.9%

Away Team to Score81.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil16.6%

Away Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.9%

Away Over 0.581.9%

Home Over 1.574.4%

Away Over 1.551.2%

Home Over 2.549.7%

Home 3+ Goals49.7%

Away Exactly 130.7%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Over 2.524.8%

Away 3+ Goals24.8%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 118.5%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Exactly 06.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.8%

Home to win by 3+21.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 112.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.5%

Home & Over 2.550.1%

Home & BTTS41.3%

Away & Over 2.520.0%

Away & BTTS18.3%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Home & No BTTS16.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Over 1.558.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Home Win46.1%

HT Under 1.541.3%

HT/FT Home/Home38.6%

HT Both Teams Score37.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.1%

HT Away Win23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Away/Away14.1%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

St. Truiden win33%

Draw33%

Lommel United win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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