Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven

Kick-off 16:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

St. Truiden 61.1% Draw 23.8% OH Leuven 15.1%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Truiden: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

St. Truiden

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

OH Leuven

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

St. Truiden 3wins ·1 draws ·OH Leuven 1wins

St. Truiden 1-0 OH LeuvenJan 18, 2026

St. Truiden 2-1 OH LeuvenNov 23, 2025

St. Truiden 2-3 OH LeuvenMar 16, 2025

St. Truiden 2-1 OH LeuvenSep 15, 2024

St. Truiden 1-1 OH LeuvenMay 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Truiden win61.1%

Draw23.8%

OH Leuven win15.1%

Over 1.5 goals76.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.5%

Over 3.5 goals29.4%

Both teams to score58.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

91.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Home91.0%

Home or Away (12)87.9%

Home Win80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.576.8%

Goal in Both Halves76.8%

Draw or Away (X2)19.4%

Draw11.5%

Draw No Bet - Away9.0%

Away Win7.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.8%

Under 5.5 Goals75.4%

Over 3.5 Goals60.5%

4+ Goals60.5%

Under 4.5 Goals58.9%

2-4 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals41.1%

Under 3.5 Goals39.5%

3-4 Goals37.7%

1-3 Goals37.4%

2-3 Goals31.3%

Over 5.5 Goals24.6%

Under 2.5 Goals21.2%

1-2 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.3%

Exactly 2 Goals13.0%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score62.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.9%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Home Win to Nil35.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.9%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.582.8%

Away Over 0.562.6%

Home Over 2.562.3%

Home 3+ Goals62.3%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Over 1.526.0%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 218.2%

Home Exactly 112.7%

Away Over 2.57.9%

Away 3+ Goals7.9%

Home Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.5%

Home to win by 3+42.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 15.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.7%

BTTS & Over 2.555.4%

Home & BTTS44.6%

Home & No BTTS35.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.9%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Away & Over 2.55.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Away & BTTS5.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.1%

HT Home Win62.5%

HT/FT Home/Home58.9%

HT Over 1.556.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.543.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score27.7%

HT Draw26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.7%

HT Under 0.514.9%

HT Away Win11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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