UEFA Europa League

St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

St. Truiden 42.2% Draw 37.0% Omonia Nicosia 20.8%

Over 2.5 - 23% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 19.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Omonia Nicosia: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.6%

Exact-score model probability

St. Truiden

D D W L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Omonia Nicosia

W D L W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 3:2 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Truiden win42.2%

Draw37.0%

Omonia Nicosia win20.8%

Over 1.5 goals50.5%

Over 2.5 goals22.8%

Over 3.5 goals8.5%

Both teams to score31.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

91.5%

HT Under 1.5

83.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

82.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)77.6%

Home or Away (12)66.2%

Draw No Bet - Home66.2%

Draw or Away (X2)56.2%

Home Win43.8%

Draw33.8%

Draw No Bet - Away33.8%

Exactly 1 Goal31.8%

Both Halves Over 0.531.1%

Goal in Both Halves31.1%

Away Win22.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.3%

Under 4.5 Goals97.4%

Under 3.5 Goals91.5%

Over 0.5 Goals80.6%

Under 2.5 Goals77.2%

1-3 Goals72.2%

1-2 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even51.9%

Under 1.5 Goals51.1%

Over 1.5 Goals48.9%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

2-4 Goals46.2%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 2.5 Goals22.8%

3-4 Goals20.1%

Under 0.5 Goals19.4%

Exactly 0 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

Over 3.5 Goals8.5%

4+ Goals8.5%

Over 4.5 Goals2.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.2%

Home Team to Score63.7%

Home Clean Sheet53.3%

Away Team to Score46.7%

Away Clean Sheet36.3%

Home Win to Nil33.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.8%

Away Win to Nil17.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.563.7%

Away Exactly 053.3%

Away Over 0.546.7%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.3%

Away Exactly 133.6%

Home Over 1.526.9%

Home Exactly 218.6%

Away Over 1.513.2%

Away Exactly 210.6%

Home Over 2.58.3%

Home 3+ Goals8.3%

Away Over 2.52.6%

Away 3+ Goals2.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.5%

Home to win by 126.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.1%

Home to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.564.9%

Home & No BTTS33.9%

Draw & Under 2.531.7%

Home & Under 2.529.5%

BTTS & Over 2.517.4%

Away & No BTTS17.0%

Away & Under 2.516.0%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Home & Over 2.514.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Home & BTTS9.9%

Away & Over 2.56.3%

Away & BTTS5.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.1%

HT Draw54.1%

HT Over 0.552.2%

HT Under 0.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals37.3%

Equal Goals Each Half34.6%

HT Home Win29.2%

1st Half More Goals28.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw26.4%

HT/FT Home/Home24.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Over 1.516.9%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT Both Teams Score9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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