Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem

Kick-off 19:15 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

St. Truiden 50.4% Draw 25.4% Zulte Waregem 24.1%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Zulte Waregem: 11 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

St. Truiden

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Zulte Waregem

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

St. Truiden 5wins ·0 draws ·Zulte Waregem 0wins

St. Truiden 3-2 Zulte WaregemFeb 15, 2026

St. Truiden 2-0 Zulte WaregemAug 23, 2025

St. Truiden 2-0 Zulte WaregemDec 27, 2022

St. Truiden 3-0 Zulte WaregemSep 17, 2022

St. Truiden 2-0 Zulte WaregemApr 2, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

St. Truiden win50.4%

Draw25.4%

Zulte Waregem win24.1%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals65.5%

Over 3.5 goals34.4%

Both teams to score66.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Home or Draw (1X)77.0%

Draw No Bet - Home70.8%

Both Halves Over 0.563.8%

Goal in Both Halves63.8%

Home Win55.6%

Draw or Away (X2)44.4%

Draw No Bet - Away29.2%

Away Win22.9%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal12.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals89.0%

Over 1.5 Goals83.4%

Under 4.5 Goals77.3%

Over 2.5 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 3.5 Goals59.3%

1-3 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.7%

Over 3.5 Goals40.7%

4+ Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.1%

1-2 Goals33.2%

Over 4.5 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals16.6%

Over 5.5 Goals11.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.6%

Away Team to Score70.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet29.3%

Home Win to Nil25.4%

Away Clean Sheet13.3%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.6%

Away Over 0.570.7%

Home Over 1.559.8%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.534.7%

Home Over 2.532.7%

Home 3+ Goals32.7%

Away Exactly 029.3%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.9%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 013.3%

Away Over 2.512.7%

Away 3+ Goals12.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.6%

Home to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.1%

Home to win by 3+16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.6%

Home & Over 2.539.8%

Home & BTTS30.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.5%

Home & No BTTS25.4%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Home & Under 2.515.8%

Away & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & Under 2.513.6%

Away & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

Away & Under 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.8%

HT Under 1.557.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Over 1.542.8%

HT Home Win42.2%

HT Draw36.4%

HT/FT Home/Home35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score25.3%

HT Under 0.523.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.9%

HT Away Win21.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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