France · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 53.0% Draw 27.3% Angers 19.8%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Angers: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Stade Brestois 29 3 wins, 1 draws, Angers 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Stade Brestois 29

L L W D D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Angers

W D L W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Stade Brestois 29 3wins ·1 draws ·Angers 1wins

Stade Brestois 29 1-1 AngersMay 17, 2026

Stade Brestois 29 2-0 AngersSep 28, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 2-0 AngersMar 9, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 0-2 AngersJan 5, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 4-0 AngersJan 29, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Stade Brestois 29 win53.0%

Draw27.3%

Angers win19.8%

Over 1.5 goals69.5%

Over 2.5 goals77.5%

Over 3.5 goals21.7%

Both teams to score76.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Home or Draw (1X)68.5%

Draw No Bet - Home59.8%

Draw or Away (X2)53.1%

Home Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Away40.2%

Away Win31.5%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals70.8%

Over 2.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals58.1%

Under 3.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.9%

Over 3.5 Goals48.3%

4+ Goals48.3%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.0%

Under 2.5 Goals30.4%

Over 4.5 Goals29.2%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.3%

Away Team to Score79.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.1%

Home Clean Sheet20.1%

Home Win to Nil17.3%

Away Clean Sheet13.7%

Away Win to Nil11.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.3%

Away Over 0.579.9%

Home Over 1.559.0%

Away Over 1.547.7%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Home Over 2.532.0%

Home 3+ Goals32.0%

Home Exactly 127.2%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.521.8%

Away 3+ Goals21.8%

Away Exactly 020.1%

Home Exactly 013.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.5%

Home to win by 3+12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 29.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.9%

Away to win by 3+5.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.1%

Home & Over 2.536.0%

Home & BTTS29.6%

Away & Over 2.523.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.6%

Away & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & No BTTS17.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

Away & No BTTS11.0%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Over 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Home Win37.4%

HT Draw34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.4%

HT/FT Home/Home29.4%

HT Away Win27.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Away/Away18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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