France · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 32.9% Draw 26.2% Lyon 40.8%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 66%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lyon: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Stade Brestois 29

W L D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Lyon

W L W L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Stade Brestois 29 1wins ·1 draws ·Lyon 3wins

Stade Brestois 29 1-2 LyonJan 18, 2026

Stade Brestois 29 0-0 LyonNov 2, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 1-2 LyonMar 2, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 2-1 LyonJan 11, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 3-4 LyonApr 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Stade Brestois 29 win32.9%

Draw26.2%

Lyon win40.8%

Over 1.5 goals79.3%

Over 2.5 goals65.5%

Over 3.5 goals33.0%

Both teams to score65.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.9%

Home or Draw (1X)69.6%

Both Halves Over 0.562.9%

Goal in Both Halves62.9%

Draw No Bet - Home60.5%

Draw or Away (X2)53.4%

Home Win46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away39.5%

Away Win30.4%

Draw23.1%

Exactly 1 Goal13.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.7%

Over 1.5 Goals82.6%

Under 4.5 Goals78.4%

Over 2.5 Goals61.6%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 3.5 Goals60.6%

1-3 Goals56.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.4%

4+ Goals39.4%

Under 2.5 Goals38.4%

1-2 Goals34.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals21.0%

Under 1.5 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.2%

Away Team to Score75.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.3%

Home Clean Sheet24.6%

Home Win to Nil20.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.8%

Away Win to Nil12.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.2%

Away Over 0.575.4%

Home Over 1.553.2%

Away Over 1.540.8%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 130.0%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Over 2.526.4%

Home 3+ Goals26.4%

Away Exactly 024.6%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 016.8%

Away Over 2.516.7%

Away 3+ Goals16.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.1%

Home to win by 3+11.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.3%

Home & Over 2.532.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.0%

Home & BTTS26.1%

Away & Over 2.520.5%

Home & No BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.514.5%

Home & Under 2.514.0%

Away & No BTTS12.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

Away & Under 2.59.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.1%

HT Under 1.558.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.541.9%

HT Draw37.6%

HT Home Win36.3%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT/FT Home/Home28.8%

HT Away Win26.1%

HT Both Teams Score25.8%

HT Under 0.523.9%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT/FT Away/Away17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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