France · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 48.2% Draw 25.5% Nice 26.3%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Stade Brestois 29: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Stade Brestois 29

D W L L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Nice

L W W L D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Stade Brestois 29 1wins ·2 draws ·Nice 2wins

Stade Brestois 29 2-2 NiceFeb 1, 2026

Stade Brestois 29 4-1 NiceSep 20, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 0-6 NiceMay 17, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 0-1 NiceNov 2, 2024

Stade Brestois 29 0-0 NiceFeb 4, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Stade Brestois 29 win48.2%

Draw25.5%

Nice win26.3%

Over 1.5 goals77.2%

Over 2.5 goals77.3%

Over 3.5 goals30.5%

Both teams to score59.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.7%

Home Over 0.5

90.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.1%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Draw No Bet - Home78.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Home Win63.5%

Draw or Away (X2)36.4%

Draw No Bet - Away21.9%

Draw18.6%

Away Win17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.2%

Under 5.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals71.0%

Over 2.5 Goals69.4%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.1%

4+ Goals48.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals30.6%

Over 4.5 Goals29.0%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.7%

Away Team to Score69.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.6%

Home Clean Sheet30.0%

Home Win to Nil27.3%

Away Clean Sheet9.2%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.7%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Home Over 1.568.8%

Home Over 2.542.6%

Home 3+ Goals42.6%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.8%

Away Exactly 030.0%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 122.0%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Away Over 2.512.1%

Away 3+ Goals12.1%

Home Exactly 09.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.0%

Home to win by 3+23.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 111.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 24.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.5%

Home & Over 2.549.1%

Home & BTTS36.3%

Home & No BTTS27.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.6%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

Home & Under 2.514.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.9%

Away & Over 2.512.5%

Away & BTTS11.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Home Win48.3%

HT Over 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT/FT Home/Home42.3%

HT Draw33.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT Away Win18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT/FT Away/Away10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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