France · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 17.9% Draw 21.1% Paris Saint Germain 60.9%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Paris Saint Germain: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Stade Brestois 29

W D D D L L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Paris Saint Germain

W L D D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Stade Brestois 29 0wins ·1 draws ·Paris Saint Germain 4wins

Stade Brestois 29 0-1 Paris Saint GermainMay 10, 2026

Stade Brestois 29 0-3 Paris Saint GermainOct 25, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 2-5 Paris Saint GermainFeb 1, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 1-3 Paris Saint GermainSep 14, 2024

Stade Brestois 29 2-2 Paris Saint GermainJan 28, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Stade Brestois 29 win17.9%

Draw21.1%

Paris Saint Germain win60.9%

Over 1.5 goals84.9%

Over 2.5 goals96.7%

Over 3.5 goals42.2%

Both teams to score90.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.3%

Goal in Both Halves89.3%

Home or Away (12)85.6%

Draw or Away (X2)82.9%

Draw No Bet - Away82.3%

Away Win70.4%

Home or Draw (1X)27.7%

Draw No Bet - Home17.7%

Home Win15.2%

Draw12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals82.0%

4+ Goals82.0%

Over 4.5 Goals68.1%

Over 5.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals48.2%

Under 4.5 Goals31.9%

2-4 Goals28.0%

3-4 Goals23.3%

Under 3.5 Goals18.0%

1-3 Goals15.8%

2-3 Goals14.2%

Exactly 3 Goals9.4%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

1-2 Goals6.4%

Exactly 2 Goals4.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score84.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.2%

Away Clean Sheet13.6%

Away Win to Nil13.3%

Home Clean Sheet2.0%

Home Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.588.3%

Home Over 0.584.5%

Away Over 2.573.0%

Away 3+ Goals73.0%

Home Over 1.557.7%

Home Over 2.531.1%

Home 3+ Goals31.1%

Home Exactly 126.8%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 215.3%

Home Exactly 013.6%

Away Exactly 17.8%

Away Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home74.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away37.8%

Away to win by 3+37.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away23.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 18.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.3%

Home to win by 24.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.7%

Away & Over 2.567.2%

Away & BTTS57.1%

Home & Over 2.514.1%

Home & BTTS13.5%

Away & No BTTS13.3%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & No BTTS1.7%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.9%

HT Over 1.574.3%

HT Away Win58.0%

HT/FT Away/Away52.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Both Teams Score48.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.7%

HT Draw23.3%

HT Home Win18.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT/FT Home/Home8.9%

HT Under 0.57.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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