France · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

41% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 41.3% Draw 27.0% Toulouse 31.7%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 98%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 77.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Toulouse: 3 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Stade Brestois 29 3 wins, 0 draws, Toulouse 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

77.5%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Stade Brestois 29 high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Toulouse high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Stade Brestois 29

D D L L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Toulouse

L W W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 5

Stade Brestois 29 3wins ·0 draws ·Toulouse 2wins

Stade Brestois 29 0-2 ToulouseJan 25, 2026

Stade Brestois 29 0-2 ToulouseAug 24, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 4-2 ToulouseMar 30, 2025

Stade Brestois 29 2-0 ToulouseSep 22, 2024

Stade Brestois 29 3-0 ToulouseMay 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Stade Brestois 29 win41.3%

Draw27.0%

Toulouse win31.7%

Over 1.5 goals77.5%

Over 2.5 goals99.3%

Over 3.5 goals30.5%

Both teams to score97.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.1%

Goal in Both Halves93.1%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)59.1%

Draw or Away (X2)54.8%

Draw No Bet - Home52.6%

Draw No Bet - Away47.4%

Home Win43.5%

Away Win39.2%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.9%

Over 3.5 Goals89.1%

4+ Goals89.1%

Over 4.5 Goals79.3%

Over 5.5 Goals65.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals34.2%

Under 4.5 Goals20.7%

2-4 Goals18.2%

3-4 Goals15.6%

Under 3.5 Goals10.9%

1-3 Goals9.1%

2-3 Goals8.3%

Exactly 3 Goals5.8%

Under 2.5 Goals5.1%

1-2 Goals3.3%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 2 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score94.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.584.7%

Away Over 1.583.0%

Home Over 2.566.2%

Home 3+ Goals66.2%

Away Over 2.563.4%

Away 3+ Goals63.4%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Away Exactly 111.8%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.0%

Home to win by 3+17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.3%

Away to win by 3+14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 210.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Home & Over 2.542.5%

Home & BTTS40.1%

Away & Over 2.538.3%

Away & BTTS36.3%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.3%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.3%

HT Over 1.581.1%

HT Both Teams Score61.5%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Home Win39.5%

HT Away Win36.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

HT/FT Away/Away25.8%

HT Draw24.0%

HT Under 1.518.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT Under 0.54.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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