Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

Kick-off 17:15 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Standard Liege 41.5% Draw 29.7% Cercle Brugge 28.8%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Standard Liege: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Standard Liege

L W D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Cercle Brugge

L L W W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Standard Liege 2wins ·2 draws ·Cercle Brugge 1wins

Standard Liege 2-1 Cercle BruggeDec 6, 2025

Standard Liege 0-3 Cercle BruggeAug 23, 2025

Standard Liege 1-1 Cercle BruggeFeb 1, 2025

Standard Liege 1-0 Cercle BruggeNov 23, 2024

Standard Liege 1-1 Cercle BruggeJan 26, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Standard Liege win41.5%

Draw29.7%

Cercle Brugge win28.8%

Over 1.5 goals71.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.9%

Over 3.5 goals22.8%

Both teams to score86.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.7%

Both Halves Over 0.575.9%

Goal in Both Halves75.9%

Draw or Away (X2)63.1%

Home or Draw (1X)57.1%

Draw No Bet - Away53.7%

Draw No Bet - Home46.3%

Away Win42.8%

Home Win36.9%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.2%

Under 5.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals60.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.4%

4+ Goals59.4%

2-4 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals40.6%

Over 4.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.9%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals23.8%

Under 2.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.3%

Home Team to Score86.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.7%

Away Clean Sheet13.6%

Away Win to Nil12.0%

Home Clean Sheet11.6%

Home Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 1.563.3%

Home Over 1.559.2%

Away Over 2.536.4%

Away 3+ Goals36.4%

Home Over 2.532.2%

Home 3+ Goals32.2%

Home Exactly 127.1%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 125.0%

Home Exactly 013.6%

Away Exactly 011.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 212.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.9%

Away to win by 3+11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.9%

Home to win by 210.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.5%

Away & Over 2.535.8%

Away & BTTS30.8%

Home & Over 2.530.6%

Home & BTTS26.8%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.9%

Away & No BTTS12.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Home & No BTTS10.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.57.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Home & Under 2.56.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Over 1.555.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.544.3%

HT Both Teams Score36.8%

HT Away Win35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.1%

HT Home Win32.0%

HT/FT Away/Away26.9%

HT/FT Home/Home22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Standard Liege win45%

Draw45%

Cercle Brugge win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Standard Liege or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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