Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Aug 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Standard Liege 45.7% Draw 32.9% RAAL La Louvière 21.4%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Standard Liege: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

RAAL La Louvière

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 2

Standard Liege 1wins ·1 draws ·RAAL La Louvière 0wins

Standard Liege 1-1 RAAL La LouvièreFeb 27, 2026

Standard Liege 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJul 26, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Standard Liege win45.7%

Draw32.9%

RAAL La Louvière win21.4%

Over 1.5 goals59.2%

Over 2.5 goals88.8%

Over 3.5 goals13.3%

Both teams to score78.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.1%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.9%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Home83.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.0%

Goal in Both Halves75.0%

Home Win70.5%

Draw or Away (X2)29.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.4%

Draw15.4%

Away Win13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals91.1%

Under 5.5 Goals77.7%

Over 2.5 Goals76.9%

Under 4.5 Goals61.8%

Over 3.5 Goals57.7%

4+ Goals57.7%

2-4 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals42.3%

1-3 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals33.4%

Under 2.5 Goals23.1%

Over 5.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score70.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.6%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil27.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.3%

Away Over 0.570.5%

Home Over 2.553.7%

Home 3+ Goals53.7%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.7%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 222.0%

Home Exactly 116.6%

Away Over 2.512.6%

Away 3+ Goals12.6%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.1%

Home to win by 3+31.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 18.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.4%

Home & Over 2.558.7%

Home & BTTS43.0%

Home & No BTTS27.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.5%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

Away & Over 2.510.5%

Away & BTTS9.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Over 1.554.6%

HT Home Win54.4%

HT/FT Home/Home49.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score30.6%

HT Draw29.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Away Win16.1%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT/FT Away/Away7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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