Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs SK Beveren

Kick-off 20:45 · Fri, Nov 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Standard Liege 39.6% Draw 33.2% SK Beveren 27.2%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

SK Beveren

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Standard Liege win39.6%

Draw33.2%

SK Beveren win27.2%

Over 1.5 goals60.6%

Over 2.5 goals54.9%

Over 3.5 goals14.2%

Both teams to score59.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

84.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

83.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.2%

Home or Draw (1X)65.9%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Both Halves Over 0.557.7%

Goal in Both Halves57.7%

Draw No Bet - Home54.7%

Draw No Bet - Away45.3%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win34.1%

Draw24.8%

Exactly 1 Goal16.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.4%

Under 5.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals83.5%

Over 1.5 Goals78.2%

Under 3.5 Goals67.5%

1-3 Goals61.8%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.6%

Under 2.5 Goals45.1%

1-2 Goals39.5%

3-4 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals32.5%

4+ Goals32.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals16.5%

Over 5.5 Goals7.2%

Under 0.5 Goals5.6%

Exactly 0 Goals5.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.1%

Away Team to Score74.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.0%

Home Clean Sheet25.7%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Home Win to Nil20.0%

Away Win to Nil16.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 0.574.3%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Away Over 1.539.4%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 025.7%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Away Over 2.515.7%

Away 3+ Goals15.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 121.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 212.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 29.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.9%

Home to win by 3+7.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 3+5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.5%

Home & Over 2.526.1%

Away & Over 2.521.2%

Home & BTTS21.1%

Home & No BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & BTTS17.8%

Draw & Under 2.517.2%

Away & No BTTS16.3%

Home & Under 2.515.0%

Away & Under 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.6%

HT Under 1.562.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw40.1%

HT Over 1.537.1%

HT Home Win32.2%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Away Win27.8%

HT Under 0.527.4%

Equal Goals Each Half24.6%

HT/FT Home/Home24.6%

HT Both Teams Score22.7%

HT/FT Away/Away19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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