France · Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Auxerre

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Strasbourg 55.4% Draw 23.5% Auxerre 21.1%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Auxerre: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Strasbourg

L L L D W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Auxerre

D W W W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Strasbourg 4wins ·1 draws ·Auxerre 0wins

Strasbourg 0-0 AuxerreMar 7, 2026

Strasbourg 3-0 AuxerreOct 29, 2025

Strasbourg 1-0 AuxerreMar 2, 2025

Strasbourg 3-1 AuxerreJan 5, 2025

Strasbourg 2-0 AuxerreMar 19, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Strasbourg win55.4%

Draw23.5%

Auxerre win21.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.5%

Over 2.5 goals99.2%

Over 3.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score97.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.2%

Goal in Both Halves

91.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.2%

Goal in Both Halves91.2%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)66.2%

Draw No Bet - Home60.7%

Home Win50.4%

Draw or Away (X2)48.4%

Draw No Bet - Away39.3%

Away Win32.6%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals93.9%

Over 3.5 Goals86.2%

4+ Goals86.2%

Over 4.5 Goals74.2%

Over 5.5 Goals59.0%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals41.0%

Under 4.5 Goals25.8%

2-4 Goals23.3%

3-4 Goals19.7%

Under 3.5 Goals13.8%

1-3 Goals12.4%

2-3 Goals11.3%

Exactly 3 Goals7.6%

Under 2.5 Goals6.1%

1-2 Goals4.8%

Exactly 2 Goals3.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score93.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.9%

Home Clean Sheet5.7%

Home Win to Nil5.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.584.7%

Away Over 1.576.8%

Home Over 2.565.9%

Home 3+ Goals65.9%

Away Over 2.553.6%

Away 3+ Goals53.6%

Away Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 116.3%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Away Exactly 05.7%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.9%

Home to win by 3+20.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 213.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.2%

Away to win by 3+10.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.3%

Home & Over 2.548.7%

Home & BTTS44.9%

Away & Over 2.531.3%

Away & BTTS29.6%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.8%

Home & No BTTS5.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.1%

HT Over 1.577.5%

HT Both Teams Score57.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.8%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT/FT Home/Home34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.6%

HT Draw24.8%

HT Under 1.522.5%

HT/FT Away/Away20.6%

Equal Goals Each Half15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT Under 0.55.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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