France · Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Lens

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Strasbourg 33.4% Draw 25.7% Lens 40.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Lens: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Strasbourg

L W W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Lens

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Strasbourg 1wins ·2 draws ·Lens 2wins

Strasbourg 1-1 LensFeb 27, 2026

Strasbourg 0-1 LensNov 22, 2025

Strasbourg 2-0 LensFeb 16, 2025

Strasbourg 2-2 LensOct 6, 2024

Strasbourg 1-3 LensFeb 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Strasbourg win33.4%

Draw25.7%

Lens win40.9%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals36.2%

Both teams to score94.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Home Team to Score

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.0%

Goal in Both Halves89.0%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw or Away (X2)72.2%

Draw No Bet - Away67.7%

Away Win56.4%

Home or Draw (1X)42.7%

Draw No Bet - Home32.3%

Home Win26.9%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.1%

Over 2.5 Goals92.1%

Over 3.5 Goals82.4%

4+ Goals82.4%

Over 4.5 Goals68.2%

Over 5.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals48.3%

Under 4.5 Goals31.8%

2-4 Goals28.9%

3-4 Goals23.9%

Under 3.5 Goals17.6%

1-3 Goals16.4%

2-3 Goals14.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.7%

Under 2.5 Goals7.9%

1-2 Goals6.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score90.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.7%

Away Clean Sheet8.7%

Away Win to Nil8.4%

Home Clean Sheet3.4%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.590.4%

Away Over 1.584.3%

Home Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 2.565.0%

Away 3+ Goals65.0%

Home Over 2.543.5%

Home 3+ Goals43.5%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 121.1%

Away Exactly 219.3%

Away Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 08.7%

Away Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.5%

Away to win by 3+24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 215.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 27.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%

Home to win by 3+7.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.9%

Away & Over 2.553.7%

Away & BTTS48.0%

Home & Over 2.525.3%

Home & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

Away & No BTTS8.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.7%

HT Over 1.573.7%

HT Both Teams Score52.1%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Away Win47.2%

HT/FT Away/Away38.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win27.3%

HT Under 1.526.3%

HT Draw25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Home/Home16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT Under 0.57.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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