France · Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Monaco

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

42% confidence

Strasbourg 42.3% Draw 23.7% Monaco 34.0%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 86.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Strasbourg: 13 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

86.5%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Strasbourg high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Monaco high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Strasbourg

W W L W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:13 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Monaco

W W W W L L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Strasbourg 1wins ·1 draws ·Monaco 3wins

Strasbourg 5-4 MonacoMay 17, 2026

Strasbourg 2-3 MonacoAug 31, 2025

Strasbourg 0-0 MonacoApr 19, 2025

Strasbourg 1-3 MonacoNov 9, 2024

Strasbourg 0-1 MonacoMar 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Strasbourg win42.3%

Draw23.7%

Monaco win34.0%

Over 1.5 goals86.5%

Over 2.5 goals99.0%

Over 3.5 goals45.2%

Both teams to score97.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.9%

BTTS & Over 2.5

90.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.1%

Goal in Both Halves93.1%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Draw or Away (X2)57.4%

Home or Draw (1X)56.5%

Draw No Bet - Away50.6%

Draw No Bet - Home49.4%

Away Win41.9%

Home Win40.9%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.9%

Over 3.5 Goals89.1%

4+ Goals89.1%

Over 4.5 Goals79.3%

Over 5.5 Goals65.9%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals34.1%

Under 4.5 Goals20.7%

2-4 Goals18.2%

3-4 Goals15.6%

Under 3.5 Goals10.9%

1-3 Goals9.1%

2-3 Goals8.3%

Exactly 3 Goals5.8%

Under 2.5 Goals5.1%

1-2 Goals3.3%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 2 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

Home Team to Score95.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 1.584.0%

Home Over 1.583.7%

Away Over 2.565.1%

Away 3+ Goals65.1%

Home Over 2.564.5%

Home 3+ Goals64.5%

Home Exactly 219.2%

Away Exactly 218.9%

Home Exactly 111.3%

Away Exactly 111.0%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Away Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.9%

Away to win by 3+15.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.3%

Home to win by 3+15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Away & Over 2.540.8%

Home & Over 2.539.9%

Away & BTTS38.6%

Home & BTTS37.8%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.3%

HT Over 1.581.1%

HT Both Teams Score61.5%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Away Win38.3%

HT Home Win37.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away27.8%

HT/FT Home/Home27.1%

HT Draw24.0%

HT Under 1.518.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT Under 0.54.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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