France · Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Strasbourg 24.6% Draw 22.6% Paris Saint Germain 52.8%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Paris Saint Germain: 7 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Strasbourg

L L D W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Paris Saint Germain

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:7 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Strasbourg 1wins ·1 draws ·Paris Saint Germain 3wins

Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint GermainFeb 1, 2026

Strasbourg 3-3 Paris Saint GermainOct 17, 2025

Strasbourg 2-1 Paris Saint GermainMay 3, 2025

Strasbourg 2-4 Paris Saint GermainOct 19, 2024

Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint GermainFeb 2, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Strasbourg win24.6%

Draw22.6%

Paris Saint Germain win52.8%

Over 1.5 goals84.8%

Over 2.5 goals96.6%

Over 3.5 goals42.4%

Both teams to score92.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.2%

Home Over 0.5

90.2%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.1%

Goal in Both Halves89.1%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw or Away (X2)72.8%

Draw No Bet - Away68.6%

Away Win57.2%

Home or Draw (1X)41.8%

Draw No Bet - Home31.4%

Home Win26.2%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.1%

Over 2.5 Goals92.1%

Over 3.5 Goals82.5%

4+ Goals82.5%

Over 4.5 Goals68.4%

Over 5.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals48.1%

Under 4.5 Goals31.6%

2-4 Goals28.7%

3-4 Goals23.7%

Under 3.5 Goals17.5%

1-3 Goals16.3%

2-3 Goals14.6%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

Under 2.5 Goals7.9%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.8%

Home Team to Score90.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil8.6%

Home Clean Sheet3.2%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 0.590.2%

Away Over 1.584.7%

Home Over 1.568.8%

Away Over 2.565.6%

Away 3+ Goals65.6%

Home Over 2.543.0%

Home 3+ Goals43.0%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Away Exactly 111.1%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Away Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.2%

Away to win by 3+25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 215.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 111.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.8%

Home to win by 3+6.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.8%

Away & Over 2.554.5%

Away & BTTS48.7%

Home & Over 2.524.7%

Home & BTTS23.3%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.9%

Away & No BTTS8.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.573.8%

HT Both Teams Score52.1%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Away Win47.8%

HT/FT Away/Away39.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win26.8%

HT Under 1.526.2%

HT Draw25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Home/Home16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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