Italy · Serie B

Sudtirol vs Ascoli

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Sudtirol 16.0% Draw 51.6% Ascoli 32.4%

Over 2.5 - 6% BTTS - 12%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 42.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

42.1%

Exact-score model probability

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

Ascoli

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Sudtirol win16.0%

Draw51.6%

Ascoli win32.4%

Over 1.5 goals22.5%

Over 2.5 goals5.7%

Over 3.5 goals1.2%

Both teams to score12.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)66.7%

Draw No Bet - Away66.3%

Home or Away (12)50.3%

Draw49.7%

Exactly 1 Goal36.4%

Draw No Bet - Home33.7%

Away Win33.3%

Home Win17.0%

Both Halves Over 0.512.2%

Goal in Both Halves12.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.8%

Under 3.5 Goals98.8%

Under 2.5 Goals94.3%

Under 1.5 Goals78.5%

Total Goals Even58.8%

Over 0.5 Goals57.9%

1-3 Goals56.8%

1-2 Goals52.2%

Under 0.5 Goals42.1%

Exactly 0 Goals42.1%

Total Goals Odd41.2%

Over 1.5 Goals21.5%

2-4 Goals21.3%

2-3 Goals20.3%

Exactly 2 Goals15.8%

Over 2.5 Goals5.7%

3-4 Goals5.5%

Exactly 3 Goals4.6%

Over 3.5 Goals1.2%

4+ Goals1.2%

Over 4.5 Goals0.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)88.5%

Away Clean Sheet72.9%

Home Clean Sheet57.7%

Away Team to Score42.3%

Away Win to Nil30.8%

Home Team to Score27.1%

Home Win to Nil15.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)11.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 072.9%

Away Exactly 057.7%

Away Over 0.542.3%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Over 0.527.1%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Home Over 1.54.1%

Home Exactly 23.6%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.2%

Away to win by 125.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 26.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.2%

Home to win by 22.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.587.0%

Draw & Under 2.549.4%

Away & No BTTS30.8%

Away & Under 2.529.5%

Home & No BTTS15.6%

Home & Under 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS7.6%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

BTTS & Over 2.54.2%

Away & Over 2.53.9%

Away & BTTS2.5%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.594.1%

HT Draw70.1%

HT Under 0.567.7%

Equal Goals Each Half50.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw45.9%

HT Over 0.532.3%

2nd Half More Goals27.9%

1st Half More Goals21.8%

HT Away Win19.3%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.8%

HT Home Win10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%

HT/FT Home/Home8.3%

HT Over 1.55.9%

HT Both Teams Score2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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