Italy · Serie B

Sudtirol vs Cesena

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Sudtirol 23.5% Draw 42.3% Cesena 34.2%

Over 2.5 - 15% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 26.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

26.6%

Exact-score model probability

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sudtirol win23.5%

Draw42.3%

Cesena win34.2%

Over 1.5 goals39.7%

Over 2.5 goals14.9%

Over 3.5 goals4.6%

Both teams to score24.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.9%

HT Under 1.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)75.0%

Home or Draw (1X)64.3%

Home or Away (12)60.7%

Draw No Bet - Away58.8%

Draw No Bet - Home41.2%

Draw39.3%

Away Win35.7%

Exactly 1 Goal35.2%

Home Win25.0%

Both Halves Over 0.523.2%

Goal in Both Halves23.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals98.9%

Under 3.5 Goals95.4%

Under 2.5 Goals85.1%

Over 0.5 Goals73.4%

1-3 Goals68.9%

Under 1.5 Goals61.8%

1-2 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even53.5%

Total Goals Odd46.5%

Over 1.5 Goals38.2%

2-4 Goals37.1%

2-3 Goals33.6%

Under 0.5 Goals26.6%

Exactly 0 Goals26.6%

Exactly 2 Goals23.3%

Over 2.5 Goals14.9%

3-4 Goals13.7%

Exactly 3 Goals10.3%

Over 3.5 Goals4.6%

4+ Goals4.6%

Over 4.5 Goals1.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.9%

Away Clean Sheet56.3%

Away Team to Score52.8%

Home Clean Sheet47.2%

Home Team to Score43.7%

Away Win to Nil29.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.1%

Home Win to Nil20.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 056.3%

Away Over 0.552.8%

Away Exactly 047.2%

Home Over 0.543.7%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Away Over 1.517.3%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Home Over 1.511.4%

Home Exactly 29.3%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.6%

Away to win by 124.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 28.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.1%

Home to win by 25.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.1%

Home to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.573.7%

Draw & Under 2.538.0%

Away & No BTTS29.7%

Away & Under 2.527.4%

Home & No BTTS20.7%

Home & Under 2.519.7%

Draw & BTTS12.8%

BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Away & Over 2.58.3%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Home & Over 2.55.3%

Home & BTTS4.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.587.9%

HT Draw60.0%

HT Under 0.555.1%

HT Over 0.544.9%

Equal Goals Each Half39.4%

2nd Half More Goals34.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw32.9%

1st Half More Goals26.2%

HT Away Win23.0%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

HT Home Win17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT/FT Home/Home13.0%

HT Over 1.512.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT Both Teams Score6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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