Italy · Serie B

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Sudtirol 22.3% Draw 50.6% Virtus Entella 27.1%

Over 2.5 - 7% BTTS - 15%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 39.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

39.4%

Exact-score model probability

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

Virtus Entella

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sudtirol win22.3%

Draw50.6%

Virtus Entella win27.1%

Over 1.5 goals25.0%

Over 2.5 goals6.8%

Over 3.5 goals1.5%

Both teams to score14.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

No Both Teams Score (NG)

86.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.5

84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)

76.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)76.6%

Home or Draw (1X)71.8%

Draw No Bet - Away54.6%

Home or Away (12)51.6%

Draw48.4%

Draw No Bet - Home45.4%

Exactly 1 Goal36.7%

Away Win28.2%

Home Win23.4%

Both Halves Over 0.513.7%

Goal in Both Halves13.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.7%

Under 3.5 Goals98.5%

Under 2.5 Goals93.2%

Under 1.5 Goals76.1%

Over 0.5 Goals60.6%

1-3 Goals59.1%

Total Goals Even57.8%

1-2 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Odd42.2%

Under 0.5 Goals39.4%

Exactly 0 Goals39.4%

Over 1.5 Goals23.9%

2-4 Goals23.6%

2-3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 2.5 Goals6.8%

3-4 Goals6.5%

Exactly 3 Goals5.3%

Over 3.5 Goals1.5%

4+ Goals1.5%

Over 4.5 Goals0.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)86.2%

Away Clean Sheet65.0%

Home Clean Sheet60.7%

Away Team to Score39.3%

Home Team to Score35.0%

Away Win to Nil25.6%

Home Win to Nil21.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)13.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 065.0%

Away Exactly 060.7%

Away Over 0.539.3%

Home Over 0.535.0%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Away Over 1.59.0%

Away Exactly 27.6%

Home Over 1.57.0%

Home Exactly 26.0%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Home Over 2.51.0%

Home 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.9%

Away to win by 121.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.3%

Away to win by 25.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.9%

Home to win by 23.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.584.7%

Draw & Under 2.547.9%

Away & No BTTS25.6%

Away & Under 2.524.6%

Home & No BTTS21.2%

Home & Under 2.520.6%

Draw & BTTS9.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

BTTS & Over 2.55.3%

Away & Over 2.53.5%

Home & Over 2.52.8%

Away & BTTS2.6%

Home & BTTS2.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.51.5%

Draw & Over 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.593.3%

HT Draw68.7%

HT Under 0.565.8%

Equal Goals Each Half48.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw43.9%

HT Over 0.534.2%

2nd Half More Goals29.0%

1st Half More Goals22.6%

HT Away Win16.9%

HT Home Win14.4%

HT/FT Away/Away14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%

HT/FT Home/Home11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT Over 1.56.7%

HT Both Teams Score3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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