UEFA Europa League

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Sunderland 14.8% Draw 21.5% Dinamo Zagreb 63.7%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Dinamo Zagreb: 1 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

Sunderland

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Dinamo Zagreb

L D W W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sunderland win14.8%

Draw21.5%

Dinamo Zagreb win63.7%

Over 1.5 goals84.5%

Over 2.5 goals62.8%

Over 3.5 goals40.6%

Both teams to score57.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.9%

Away Team to Score

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)84.0%

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Draw No Bet - Away80.2%

Away Win64.8%

Both Halves Over 0.563.8%

Goal in Both Halves63.8%

Home or Draw (1X)35.1%

Draw No Bet - Home19.8%

Draw19.2%

Home Win16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Under 5.5 Goals89.1%

Over 1.5 Goals83.3%

Under 4.5 Goals77.4%

Over 2.5 Goals62.8%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 3.5 Goals59.4%

1-3 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.8%

Over 3.5 Goals40.6%

4+ Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.2%

1-2 Goals33.3%

Over 4.5 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.6%

Under 1.5 Goals16.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.2%

Home Team to Score63.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.2%

Away Clean Sheet36.3%

Away Win to Nil32.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.2%

Away Over 1.565.1%

Home Over 0.563.6%

Away Over 2.538.4%

Away 3+ Goals38.4%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.3%

Home Over 1.526.9%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Home Exactly 218.6%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Over 2.58.2%

Home 3+ Goals8.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 123.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.3%

Away to win by 3+22.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 219.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 110.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 24.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.5%

Home to win by 3+1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.9%

Away & Over 2.546.4%

Away & BTTS32.4%

Away & No BTTS32.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.3%

Away & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Home & Over 2.510.0%

Home & BTTS9.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.7%

HT Under 1.557.2%

HT Away Win48.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT/FT Away/Away42.9%

HT Over 1.542.8%

HT Draw35.2%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Under 0.523.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Home Win16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Home/Home8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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