England · Premier League

Sunderland vs Fulham

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Sunderland 38.1% Draw 32.0% Fulham 29.9%

Over 2.5 - 39% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sunderland: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Sunderland 0 wins, 0 draws, Fulham 2 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Sunderland

L W W D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Fulham

W L W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Sunderland 0wins ·0 draws ·Fulham 2wins

Sunderland 1-3 FulhamFeb 22, 2026

Sunderland 0-1 FulhamNov 22, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sunderland win38.1%

Draw32.0%

Fulham win29.9%

Over 1.5 goals64.2%

Over 2.5 goals39.3%

Over 3.5 goals16.8%

Both teams to score46.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.1%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.4%

Draw or Away (X2)71.8%

Draw No Bet - Away61.1%

Home or Draw (1X)55.7%

Both Halves Over 0.547.2%

Goal in Both Halves47.2%

Away Win44.3%

Draw No Bet - Home38.9%

Home Win28.2%

Draw27.6%

Exactly 1 Goal22.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.8%

Under 4.5 Goals91.1%

Over 0.5 Goals90.4%

Under 3.5 Goals79.1%

1-3 Goals69.5%

Over 1.5 Goals67.9%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 2.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals48.9%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals32.6%

Under 1.5 Goals32.1%

Exactly 2 Goals26.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.9%

4+ Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Under 0.5 Goals9.6%

Exactly 0 Goals9.6%

Over 4.5 Goals8.9%

Over 5.5 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.7%

Home Team to Score63.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.8%

Away Clean Sheet36.6%

Away Win to Nil27.0%

Home Clean Sheet26.3%

Home Win to Nil16.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.7%

Home Over 0.563.4%

Away Over 1.538.6%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.6%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Home Over 1.526.6%

Away Exactly 026.3%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Away Over 2.515.1%

Away 3+ Goals15.1%

Home Over 2.58.1%

Home 3+ Goals8.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.6%

Away to win by 123.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 213.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.5%

Away to win by 3+7.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 27.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.6%

BTTS & Over 2.533.8%

Away & No BTTS27.0%

Away & Over 2.522.8%

Draw & Under 2.522.5%

Away & Under 2.521.4%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Away & BTTS17.3%

Home & No BTTS16.7%

Home & Under 2.514.5%

Home & Over 2.513.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Home & BTTS11.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.6%

HT Over 0.565.1%

HT Draw45.0%

2nd Half More Goals41.8%

HT Under 0.534.9%

HT Away Win32.4%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.4%

Equal Goals Each Half27.8%

HT/FT Away/Away26.2%

HT Home Win22.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.0%

HT/FT Home/Home15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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